- The Panthers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Islanders
- Panthers vs. Islanders Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | TVA | RSN
The Florida Panthers (30-26) visit UBS Arena to take on the New York Islanders (33-21) on Mar. 1 in Elmont, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 6:30 pm.
The Panthers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Panthers vs. Islanders Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Panthers vs. Islanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Panthers | -1.5 +165 | 6 -118 | -145 |
| Islanders | +1.5 -200 | 6 -102 | +120 |
Panthers vs Islanders Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Panthers will win this game with 60.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Panthers vs Islanders Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Panthers Best Bets & Trends
- The Florida Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 38% ROI)
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Panthers are 20-39 against the spread this NHL season (-17.35 Units / -22.22% ROI).
- Panthers are 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units /-13.71% ROI
- Panthers are 34-25 when betting the Over for +6.85 Units / 10.62% ROI
- Panthers are 25-34 when betting the Under for -12.6 Units /-19.22% ROI
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 33-27 against the spread this NHL season (-3.05 Units /-2.93% ROI).
- Islanders are 34-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.95 Units / 14.45% ROI
- Islanders are 27-31 when betting the Over for -6.65 Units / -10.04% ROI
- Islanders are 31-27 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 2.93% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Islanders vs Panthers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart (Fla) | +145 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +185 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (Fla) | +185 |
| Brad Marchand (FLA) | +210 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +225 |
| Sam Bennett (Fla) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Islanders vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Evan Rodrigues (FLA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Brad Marchand (FLA) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Anton Lundell (FLA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -130 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Islanders vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mackie Samoskevich (FLA) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +135 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -185 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +115 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -165 |
Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Panthers are 126-90 (.583) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 74-60 (.552) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 42-2 (.955) when scoring 3 or more goals in a period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .858
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Panthers
The Islanders are 32-24 (.571) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 11-1 (.917) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .505
The Islanders are 52-38 (.578) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Panthers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers have drawn 158 penalties in the third period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Panthers have scored on 9% of rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Panthers had 90 forecheck chances in the third period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Panthers have 0.7 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders have 5 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this month — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Islanders have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Islanders are 32-24 (.571) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers have a .738 slot save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .817
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 16% of cycle chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Panthers have a .787 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 34% of second chance opportunities in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 11% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 5% of cycle chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Islanders have 63.9 goals saved above expected in the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 18.3
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