- The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Panthers
- Panthers vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SCRI | RDS | TSN2
The Florida Panthers (37-37) visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens (45-22) on Apr. 7 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Panthers vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Panthers vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Panthers vs Canadiens Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 83.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Panthers vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Canadiens will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Panthers Best Bets & Trends
- The Florida Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have covered the 1P Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 away games (+5.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+4.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 1P Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Panthers are 26-51 against the spread this NHL season (-27.8 Units / -26.23% ROI).
- Panthers are 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units /-14.87% ROI
- Panthers are 44-33 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 9.02% ROI
- Panthers are 33-44 when betting the Under for -15.05 Units /-17.78% ROI
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 43-34 against the spread this NHL season (+10.55 Units /8.91% ROI).
- Canadiens are 45-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 11.94% ROI
- Canadiens are 43-32 when betting the Over for +7.1 Units / 8.24% ROI
- Canadiens are 32-43 when betting the Under for -14.95 Units / -17.71% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canadiens vs Panthers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | +100 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) | +160 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | +165 |
| Sam Bennett (Fla) | +200 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (Fla) | +200 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (Fla) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Canadiens vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Oliver Kapanen (MTL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seth Jones (FLA) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Zachary Bolduc (MTL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Sam Bennett (FLA) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Canadiens vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Greer (FLA) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -175 |
| Oliver Kapanen (MTL) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -145 |
| Seth Jones (FLA) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Zachary Bolduc (MTL) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -145 |
Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Panthers were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 129-93 (.581) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 84-73 (.535) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers were 33-17 (.660) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Panthers
The Canadiens are 44-31 (.587) this season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 83-72 (.535) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 6-85 (.066) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Panthers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers had 90 forecheck chances in the third period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Panthers recorded 33.8 shots per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
The Panthers had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Panthers have recorded 1.1 shots per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.8
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have averaged 1.25 expected goals per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.05
The Canadiens scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Canadiens have 347 cycle chances while tied this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 65 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 14% of cycle chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Panthers have a .851 save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .886
The Panthers have a .748 slot save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .816
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 15% of rush chances this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens have allowed 5 rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded this month — most among NHL Teams
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