Oilers vs Flames Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Feb 4

Calgary Flames fans cheer after the team's win in an NHL hockey game against the Vegas Golden Knights on Thursday, March 16, 2023, in Las Vegas.
(AP Photo/Ellen Schmidt)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Oilers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
  • Oilers vs. Flames Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
  • TV Channel: RSN | TVA | R360

The Edmonton Oilers (28-21) visit Scotiabank Saddledome to take on the Calgary Flames (22-27) on Feb. 4 in Calgary, AB. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.

The Oilers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).

The Oilers vs. Flames Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.

Oilers vs. Flames Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Oilers-1.5 +1806.5 -110-135
Flames+1.5 -2206.5 -110+110

Oilers vs Flames Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Oilers will win this game with 59.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Oilers vs Flames Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Oilers will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Edmonton Oilers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+9.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+7.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 99% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 2P Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Oilers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oilers are 22-35 against the spread this NHL season (-7.4 Units / -11.04% ROI).

  • Oilers are 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units /-16.33% ROI
  • Oilers are 31-23 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 9.07% ROI
  • Oilers are 23-31 when betting the Under for -10.5 Units /-16.81% ROI

Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Flames are 30-24 against the spread this NHL season (-4.85 Units /-4.98% ROI).

  • Flames are 22-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -16.25% ROI
  • Flames are 26-25 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -2.34% ROI
  • Flames are 25-26 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -3.87% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Flames vs Oilers

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Connor McDavid (EDM) +115
Leon Draisaitl (Edm) +125
Zach Hyman (Edm) +165
Nazem Kadri (CAL) +210
Yegor Sharangovich (Cal) +230
Matt Coronato (CAL) +230

Points Per Game Predictions for Flames vs Oilers

Player Name Over Under
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Mikael Backlund (CAL) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Connor McDavid (EDM) 1.5 -135 1.5 +100
Darnell Nurse (EDM) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Matvei Gridin (CAL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175

Shots on Goal Predictions for Flames vs Oilers

Player Name Over Under
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) 1.5 -145 1.5 +105
Mikael Backlund (CAL) 2.5 +125 2.5 -165
Connor McDavid (EDM) 3.5 +110 3.5 -150
Darnell Nurse (EDM) 1.5 -130 1.5 -105
Matvei Gridin (CAL) 1.5 -110 1.5 -120

Oilers: Keys to the Game vs. Flames

The Oilers were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Oilers were 35-2 (.946) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856

The Oilers were 39-21 (.650) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568

The Oilers were 10-7 (.588) when tied after the second period last season — tied for 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Oilers

The Flames were undefeated (17-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .865

The Flames were 16-8 (.667) when recording 35 or more shots on goal last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .556

The Flames were 9-6 (.600) when tied after the second period last season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flames were 26-14 (.650) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568

The Oilers averaged 1.27 expected goals per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03

The Oilers averaged 2.57 expected goals per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.13

The Oilers averaged 3.62 expected goals per game last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14

The Oilers had 534 rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames scored on 5% of cycle chances in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Flames scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%

The Flames had 37 rush chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames recorded 12.6 shots per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Oilers allowed 2.0 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for 5th highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Oilers made 29 saves in 4v4 situations last season — tied for 5th most among NHL Teams

The Oilers had 488 successful stick checks while leading last season — 8th most among NHL Teams

The Oilers had 862 puck battle wins in the first period last season — 8th most among NHL Teams

The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames allowed 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Flames allowed 8.84 expected goals in overtime last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Flames had 14.7 goals saved above expected while tied last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.6


National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM

At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.

Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more. 

BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.

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