Oilers vs Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 10

Colorado Avalanche fans cheer after a goal against the Vegas Golden Knights in the second period of an NHL hockey game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Denver.
(AP Photo/Geneva Heffernan)
  • The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Oilers
  • Oilers vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 7 goals
  • TV Channel: TNT | HBOM | RSN | TVA

The Edmonton Oilers (31-25) visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche (43-10) on Mar. 10 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.

The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Oilers vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 7 total goals.

Oilers vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Oilers+1.5 -1557 -130+145
Avalanche-1.5 +1257 +105-175

Oilers vs Avalanche Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Oilers vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Oilers will cover the spread with 75.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Edmonton Oilers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+11.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 2P Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Oilers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oilers are 24-40 against the spread this NHL season (-10.65 Units / -13.85% ROI).

  • Oilers are 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units /-17.33% ROI
  • Oilers are 37-24 when betting the Over for +10.8 Units / 15.02% ROI
  • Oilers are 24-37 when betting the Under for -16.15 Units /-22.99% ROI

Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Avalanche are 33-29 against the spread this NHL season (+12.35 Units /18.23% ROI).

  • Avalanche are 43-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 5.62% ROI
  • Avalanche are 27-33 when betting the Over for -10.4 Units / -14.78% ROI
  • Avalanche are 33-27 when betting the Under for +4.95 Units / 7.4% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Avalanche vs Oilers

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Nathan MacKinnon (COL) -110
Martin Necas (COL) +135
Connor McDavid (EDM) +150
Leon Draisaitl (Edm) +150
Brock Nelson (Col) +180
Zach Hyman (Edm) +190

Points Per Game Predictions for Avalanche vs Oilers

Player Name Over Under
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Leon Draisaitl (EDM) 1.5 +125 1.5 -165
Martin Necas (COL) 1.5 +125 1.5 -165
Brent Burns (COL) 0.5 +200 0.5 -285
Valeri Nichushkin (COL) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125

Shots on Goal Predictions for Avalanche vs Oilers

Player Name Over Under
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) 1.5 -165 1.5 +125
Leon Draisaitl (EDM) 2.5 -135 2.5 +100
Ross Colton (COL) 1.5 -200 1.5 +145
Martin Necas (COL) 2.5 -140 2.5 +105
Brent Burns (COL) 1.5 -145 1.5 +105

Oilers: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche

The Oilers are 125-96 (.566) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Oilers were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Oilers are 78-65 (.545) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Oilers are 89-7 (.927) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .848

Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Oilers

The Avalanche are 43-19 (.694) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Avalanche are 20-4 (.833) when scoring a power play goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .584

The Oilers have 77.56 expected goals in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams

The Oilers have averaged 1.21 expected goals per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.94

The Oilers have 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Oilers averaged 1.27 expected goals per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03

The Avalanche have recorded 35.8 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.0

The Avalanche have 346 cycle chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams

The Avalanche have 7.7 points per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.5

The Avalanche have 549 cycle chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams

The Oilers have allowed opponents to score on 25% of second chance opportunities this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Oilers have allowed opponents to score on 22% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Oilers have allowed opponents to score on 22% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Oilers have allowed opponents to score on 25% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%

The Avalanche have a .625 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828

The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Avalanche have a .876 slot save percentage in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .816

The Avalanche have a .792 save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .899


National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM

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Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more. 

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