- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
- Maple Leafs vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: TVA | RSN
The Toronto Maple Leafs (32-35) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (43-27) on Apr. 15 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Maple Leafs vs. Senators Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Maple Leafs vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 3P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 35-46 against the spread this NHL season (-22.3 Units / -18.17% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 32-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units /-19% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 45-30 when betting the Over for +11.8 Units / 13.08% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 30-45 when betting the Under for -19 Units /-21.43% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 39-42 against the spread this NHL season (+4.25 Units /3.96% ROI).
- Senators are 43-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -3.46% ROI
- Senators are 42-37 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 0.77% ROI
- Senators are 37-42 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units / -9.22% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Senators vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matias Maccelli (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Easton Cowan (TOR) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -220 |
| Max Domi (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Drake Batherson (OTT) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Senators vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Easton Cowan (TOR) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 2.5 -118 | 2.5 -115 |
| Jake Sanderson (OTT) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| Matthew Knies (TOR) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -140 |
| William Nylander (TOR) | 2.5 -135 | 2.5 +100 |
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 32-46 (.410) this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 24-2 (.923) when leading after the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Senators were 4-23 (.148) when trailing after the first period last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .285
The Senators are 30-18 (.625) when outshooting their opponents this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .520
The Senators were 16-9 (.640) when tied after the first period last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 2-22 (.083) when trailing after the second period this season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .140
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs have scored 5 power play goals in the second period this month — most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs have scored on 7% of rush chances in the second period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 21 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Senators have 38 cycle chances in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have drawn 102 penalties in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs have allowed 7.7 rush chances per game this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Maple Leafs have made 30.7 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.8
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have allowed 2.9 rush chances per game in the second period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have a .797 slot save percentage this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
The Senators have a .761 slot save percentage in the third period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 22% of rush chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Senators have a .814 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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