- The Oilers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
- Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: RSN | TVA
The Toronto Maple Leafs (26-21) visit Rogers Place to take on the Edmonton Oilers (28-20) on Feb. 3 in Edmonton. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 pm.
The Oilers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+118).
The Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Maple Leafs | +1.5 -145 | 6.5 +118 | +165 |
| Oilers | -1.5 +118 | 6.5 -145 | -200 |
Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Oilers will win this game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Maple Leafs vs Oilers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Maple Leafs will cover the spread with 71.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Oilers Best Bets & Trends
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+6.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 24-32 against the spread this NHL season (-11.55 Units / -13.87% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units /-10.77% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 32-21 when betting the Over for +8.8 Units / 14.17% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 21-32 when betting the Under for -14.1 Units /-22.98% ROI
Oilers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oilers are 22-34 against the spread this NHL season (-6.4 Units /-9.69% ROI).
- Oilers are 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -14.51% ROI
- Oilers are 31-23 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 9.23% ROI
- Oilers are 23-31 when betting the Under for -10.5 Units / -17.11% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Oilers vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid (EDM) | -130 |
| Leon Draisaitl (Edm) | +100 |
| Zach Hyman (Edm) | +130 |
| Auston Matthews (TOR) | +150 |
| William Nylander (Tor) | +220 |
| John Tavares (Tor) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Oilers vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Connor McDavid (EDM) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +110 |
| Leon Draisaitl (EDM) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -115 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kasperi Kapanen (EDM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Oilers vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Connor McDavid (EDM) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -125 |
| Leon Draisaitl (EDM) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -175 |
| Matthew Knies (TOR) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Darnell Nurse (EDM) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Oilers
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 24-2 (.923) when leading after the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
The Maple Leafs were 46-5 (.902) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .754
The Maple Leafs were 32-12 (.727) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568
Oilers: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Oilers were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Oilers were 35-2 (.946) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856
The Oilers were 15-10 (.600) when tied after the first period last season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Oilers were 29-2 (.935) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .865
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs had 1.8 rush chances per game while tied last season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Maple Leafs scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs primary assisted on 235 goals last season — tied for 10th most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs averaged 4.5 high danger chances per game while tied last season — tied for 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.1
Oilers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Oilers averaged 1.27 expected goals per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
The Oilers recorded 34.0 shots per game last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
The Oilers averaged 2.57 expected goals per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.13
The Oilers had 2.6 rush chances per game in the first period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs had 2,553 puck battle wins last season — 5th most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs made 28.8 saves per game last season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 27.3
The Maple Leafs allowed 1.8 rush chances per game while tied last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Maple Leafs allowed 0.8 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Oilers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Oilers allowed 2.85 expected goals per game last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
The Oilers allowed 0.9 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Oilers allowed 1.0 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Oilers allowed 2.6 high danger chances per game against the power play last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
