Maple Leafs vs Kings Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Apr 4

Los Angeles Kings fans cheer after right wing Adrian Kempe scored during overtime of an NHL hockey game against the Calgary Flames Thursday, Dec. 22, 2022, in Los Angeles. The Kings won 4-3.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Kings are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
  • Maple Leafs vs. Kings Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: CBC | RSNO | FDSC

The Toronto Maple Leafs (32-31) visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Kings (30-26) on Apr. 4 in Los Angeles, CA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Maple Leafs vs. Kings Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Maple Leafs vs. Kings Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Maple Leafs vs Kings Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win this game with 77.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Maple Leafs vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Maple Leafs will cover the spread with 75.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have covered the 1P Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have hit the 1P Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Kings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maple Leafs are 33-43 against the spread this NHL season (-20.35 Units / -17.57% ROI).

  • Maple Leafs are 32-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units /-14.08% ROI
  • Maple Leafs are 41-29 when betting the Over for +8.9 Units / 10.51% ROI
  • Maple Leafs are 29-41 when betting the Under for -15.65 Units /-18.81% ROI

Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kings are 28-47 against the spread this NHL season (-22.9 Units /-21.41% ROI).

  • Kings are 30-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.3 Units / -26.58% ROI
  • Kings are 34-40 when betting the Over for -9.15 Units / -11.21% ROI
  • Kings are 40-34 when betting the Under for +2.45 Units / 2.92% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Kings vs Maple Leafs

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Artemi Panarin (LAK) +140
Adrian Kempe (LAK) +175
William Nylander (Tor) +180
Quinton Byfield (Lak) +220
John Tavares (Tor) +220
Alex Laferriere (LAK) +240

Points Per Game Predictions for Kings vs Maple Leafs

Player Name Over Under
Artemi Panarin (LAK) 1.5 +170 1.5 -225
Alex Laferriere (LAK) 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Adrian Kempe (LAK) 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Matthew Knies (TOR) 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Brandt Clarke (LAK) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155

Shots on Goal Predictions for Kings vs Maple Leafs

Player Name Over Under
Alex Laferriere (LAK) 2.5 -175 2.5 +130
Scott Laughton (LAK) 1.5 -145 1.5 +105
Adrian Kempe (LAK) 2.5 -160 2.5 +115
Matthew Knies (TOR) 1.5 +100 1.5 -135
Brandt Clarke (LAK) 2.5 +135 2.5 -190

Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Kings

The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Maple Leafs are 32-42 (.432) this season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Maple Leafs were 24-2 (.923) when leading after the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715

Kings: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs

The Kings were 39-2 (.951) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .754

The Kings are 30-43 (.411) this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Kings are 18-21 (.462) when winning the xG advantage this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .641

The Kings are 5-17 (.227) when drawing more penalties this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .479

The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Maple Leafs have 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Maple Leafs have scored on 19% of rush chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%

The Maple Leafs have scored on 16% of rush chances in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Kings have recorded 12.6 shots per game while tied this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Kings scored on 25% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Kings have scored on 8% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%

The Kings have scored on 7% of second chance opportunities in the first period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%

The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%

The Maple Leafs have allowed 2.5 goals per game in 5v5 situations this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Maple Leafs have allowed 2.8 rush chances per game in the second period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3

The Maple Leafs have made 30.7 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.8

The Kings allowed 5.2 rush chances per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Kings have allowed opponents to score on 25% of rush chances against the power play this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Kings have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%

The Kings allowed 4.3 rush chances per game in 5v5 situations last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.3


National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM

At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.

Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more. 

BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.

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