- The Devils are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
- Maple Leafs vs. Devils Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN+ | HULU | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24) visit Prudential Center to take on the New Jersey Devils (29-29) on Mar. 4 in Newark, NJ. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Devils are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Maple Leafs vs. Devils Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Devils Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Maple Leafs | +1.5 -250 | 5.5 +100 | +100 |
| Devils | -1.5 +200 | 5.5 -120 | -120 |
Maple Leafs vs Devils Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Devils will win this game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Maple Leafs vs Devils Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Maple Leafs will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 away games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 3P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 away games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Devils Best Bets & Trends
- The New Jersey Devils have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New Jersey Devils have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New Jersey Devils have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+6.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New Jersey Devils have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New Jersey Devils have covered the 2P Puck Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 25-36 against the spread this NHL season (-16.95 Units / -18.59% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units /-13.65% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 33-23 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 11.42% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 23-33 when betting the Under for -13.3 Units /-19.84% ROI
Devils Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Devils are 21-40 against the spread this NHL season (-24.5 Units /-27.39% ROI).
- Devils are 30-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -5.86% ROI
- Devils are 23-37 when betting the Over for -17.95 Units / -26.4% ROI
- Devils are 37-23 when betting the Under for +12.35 Units / 18.45% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Devils vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier (NJ) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Jack Hughes (NJ) | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -220 |
| Dawson Mercer (NJ) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Brown (NJ) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nico Hischier (NJ) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Devils vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier (NJ) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -105 |
| Jack Hughes (NJ) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
| Dawson Mercer (NJ) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Connor Brown (NJ) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
| Nico Hischier (NJ) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +105 |
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Devils
The Maple Leafs are 27-34 (.443) this season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 77-63 (.550) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Devils: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Devils are 6-14 (.300) when drawing more penalties this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .470
The Devils are undefeated (19-0) when leading after the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856
The Devils are 2-46 (.042) when trailing after the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .146
The Devils were 21-4 (.840) when leading after the first period last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs had 8.6 points per game last season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.1
The Maple Leafs scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have 401 rush chances this season — tied for 9th most among NHL Teams
Devils Offensive Stats & Trends
The Devils have scored on 12% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Devils have scored on 13% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Devils had 0.6 rush chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Devils have 1.5 rush chances per game in the third period this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs have made 30.5 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.9
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have 1,878 puck battle wins this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs have allowed 2.8 rush chances per game in the second period this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
The Devils have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Devils allowed 0.9 goals per game while tied last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Devils allowed 0.5 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Devils have allowed opponents to score on 19% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
