- The Bruins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: NESN | TSN4 | TVA
The Toronto Maple Leafs (29-29) visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Bruins (39-23) on Mar. 24 in Boston, MA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Bruins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Maple Leafs | +1.5 -150 | 6.5 -120 | +155 |
| Bruins | -1.5 +125 | 6.5 +100 | -190 |
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Bruins will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bruins will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+6.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 3P Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games at home (+12.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 30-41 against the spread this NHL season (-19.15 Units / -17.99% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 29-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units /-17.71% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 39-27 when betting the Over for +9.05 Units / 11.48% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 27-39 when betting the Under for -15.65 Units /-20.1% ROI
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 45-25 against the spread this NHL season (+19.55 Units /17.72% ROI).
- Bruins are 39-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 15.88% ROI
- Bruins are 38-31 when betting the Over for +3.85 Units / 4.96% ROI
- Bruins are 31-38 when betting the Under for -10.6 Units / -13.82% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Bruins vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | -105 |
| William Nylander (Tor) | +175 |
| John Tavares (Tor) | +210 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | +220 |
| Morgan Geekie (Bos) | +230 |
| Matthew Knies (Tor) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Bruins vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Casey Mittelstadt (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matthew Knies (TOR) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | 0.5 -118 | 0.5 -115 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Bruins vs Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Fraser Minten (BOS) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +135 |
| Michael Eyssimont (BOS) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -110 |
| Matthew Knies (TOR) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Maple Leafs are 29-40 (.420) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 32-12 (.727) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are winless (0-24) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .132
The Bruins are 69-79 (.466) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 6-69 (.080) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 33% of rush chances in the first period this month — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Maple Leafs scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs scored on 13% of rush chances last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 33% of second chance opportunities in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 23% of second chance opportunities this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs have made 30.8 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.9
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have allowed 40 forecheck chances this month — most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs have allowed 240.84 expected goals this season — most among NHL Teams
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins allowed opponents to score on 21% of rush chances in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Bruins have allowed 13 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
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