Mammoth vs Stars Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 16

Fans celebrate a Dallas Stars' victory over the Colorado Avalanche in Game 5 of a first-round NHL hockey playoff series in Dallas, Monday, April 28, 2025.
(AP Photo/Gareth Patterson)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Mammoth
  • Mammoth vs. Stars Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
  • TV Channel: UT16 | VIC+ | KDFW

The Utah Mammoth (34-27) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars (42-14) on Mar. 16 in Dallas, TX. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.

The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mammoth vs. Stars Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.

Mammoth vs. Stars Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Mammoth+1.5 -1855.5 +100+135
Stars-1.5 +1505.5 -120-160

Mammoth vs Stars Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 73.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Mammoth vs Stars Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Stars will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Utah Mammoth have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Utah Mammoth have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Mammoth have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Utah Mammoth have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Utah Mammoth have covered the 3P Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+10.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Mammoth Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mammoth are 29-38 against the spread this NHL season (-10.15 Units / -10.99% ROI).

  • Mammoth are 34-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units /-10.45% ROI
  • Mammoth are 30-34 when betting the Over for -7.55 Units / -10.27% ROI
  • Mammoth are 34-30 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units /1.22% ROI

Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stars are 27-39 against the spread this NHL season (-7.2 Units /-8.33% ROI).

  • Stars are 42-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 7.86% ROI
  • Stars are 33-32 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -3.28% ROI
  • Stars are 32-33 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -5.65% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Stars vs Mammoth

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Jason Robertson (DAL) +125
Wyatt Johnston (DAL) +135
Dylan Guenther (UTA) +195
Clayton Keller (UTA) +240
Matt Duchene (DAL) +260
Nick Schmaltz (UTA) +275

Points Per Game Predictions for Stars vs Mammoth

Player Name Over Under
Jamie Benn (DAL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Sean Durzi (UTA) 0.5 +210 0.5 -295
Mikhail Sergachev (UTA) 0.5 -110 0.5 -118
Nick Schmaltz (UTA) 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Wyatt Johnston (DAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Shots on Goal Predictions for Stars vs Mammoth

Player Name Over Under
Jamie Benn (DAL) 1.5 +115 1.5 -155
Mikhail Sergachev (UTA) 1.5 -150 1.5 +110
Wyatt Johnston (DAL) 2.5 -115 2.5 -118
Michael Bunting (DAL) 1.5 -135 1.5 +100
Clayton Keller (UTA) 2.5 -105 2.5 -125

Mammoth: Keys to the Game vs. Stars

The Mammoth are 27-40 (.403) when recording less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .475

The Hockey Club were 11-15 (.423) when drawing more penalties last season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508

The Hockey Club were 16-1 (.941) when scoring 3 or more goals in a period last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .877

The Hockey Club were 7-37 (.159) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .246

Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Mammoth

The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Stars are 41-24 (.631) this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .513

The Mammoth have scored on 13% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Hockey Club scored on 0% of rush chances while shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Hockey Club scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%

The Mammoth have scored on 17% of rush chances while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Stars have scored on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Stars have 7 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams

The Stars have 2.7 points per game on the power play this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Mammoth have a .500 slot save percentage in overtime this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .799

The Mammoth have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Mammoth have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Mammoth have allowed 0.3 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Stars have allowed 2.69 expected goals per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09

The Stars have a .909 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900

The Stars had a .914 save percentage last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901

The Stars have allowed 14.6 high danger chances per game this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.2


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