- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Mammoth
- Mammoth vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | UT16
The Utah Mammoth (27-20) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (32-14) on Jan. 26 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Mammoth vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Mammoth vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mammoth | +1.5 -180 | 6 -102 | +135 |
| Lightning | -1.5 +145 | 6 -118 | -160 |
Mammoth vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 73.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Mammoth vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lightning will cover the spread with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Mammoth Best Bets & Trends
- The Utah Mammoth have covered the 3P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have hit the 3P Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have covered the Puck Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.35 Units / 67% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Mammoth Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mammoth are 22-29 against the spread this NHL season (-7.45 Units / -10.67% ROI).
- Mammoth are 27-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units /-4.03% ROI
- Mammoth are 24-25 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -6.42% ROI
- Mammoth are 25-24 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units /-2.49% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 25-25 against the spread this NHL season (+9.15 Units /14.36% ROI).
- Lightning are 32-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 7.4% ROI
- Lightning are 23-25 when betting the Over for -4.25 Units / -7.74% ROI
- Lightning are 25-23 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -0.27% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Lightning vs Mammoth
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | +125 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +154 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +154 |
| Dylan Guenther (UTA) | +200 |
| Clayton Keller (UTA) | +210 |
| Nick Schmaltz (UTA) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Mammoth
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Durzi (UTA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mikhail Sergachev (UTA) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Nick Schmaltz (UTA) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Clayton Keller (UTA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Mammoth
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Durzi (UTA) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Mikhail Sergachev (UTA) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -130 |
| Nick Schmaltz (UTA) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -175 |
| Clayton Keller (UTA) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +105 |
Mammoth: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Mammoth are undefeated (17-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .881
The Mammoth are 9-4 (.692) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Hockey Club were 26-17 (.605) when outshooting their opponents last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .553
The Hockey Club were 27-15 (.643) when winning the xG advantage last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Mammoth
The Lightning are 32-18 (.640) this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 123-88 (.583) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 9-2 (.818) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Mammoth Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mammoth have scored on 16% of rush chances while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Hockey Club scored on 0% of rush chances while shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Hockey Club scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Hockey Club had 5.9 slot shots per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.8
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have scored on 26% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning had 5 cycle chances while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Lightning have averaged 18.3 high danger chances per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15.8
The Lightning have 2.4 rush chances per game in the first period this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
Mammoth Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mammoth have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Mammoth have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Mammoth have a .807 slot save percentage in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .831
The Mammoth have allowed 0.04 expected goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.08
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have allowed 0.82 expected goals per game in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
The Lightning have allowed 14.0 high danger chances per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning have allowed 4.2 high danger chances per game in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.9
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
