- The Mammoth are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Mammoth vs. Flyers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: UT16 | NSPA
The Utah Mammoth (32-25) visit Xfinity Mobile Arena to take on the Philadelphia Flyers (28-21) on Mar. 5 in Philadelphia, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Mammoth are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).
The Mammoth vs. Flyers Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Mammoth vs. Flyers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Mammoth | -1.5 +185 | 6 -120 | -130 |
| Flyers | +1.5 -225 | 6 +100 | +105 |
Mammoth vs Flyers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Mammoth will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Mammoth vs Flyers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flyers will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Mammoth Best Bets & Trends
- The Utah Mammoth have covered the 3P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have hit the 3P Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Utah Mammoth have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
Mammoth Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mammoth are 28-33 against the spread this NHL season (-6.3 Units / -7.37% ROI).
- Mammoth are 32-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units /-5.63% ROI
- Mammoth are 28-30 when betting the Over for -5.25 Units / -7.82% ROI
- Mammoth are 30-28 when betting the Under for -0.85 Units /-1.26% ROI
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 37-23 against the spread this NHL season (+8.9 Units /9.02% ROI).
- Flyers are 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.05% ROI
- Flyers are 30-28 when betting the Over for -1.05 Units / -1.59% ROI
- Flyers are 28-30 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -8.74% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Flyers vs Mammoth
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mikhail Sergachev (UTA) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Nick Schmaltz (UTA) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Clayton Keller (UTA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Flyers vs Mammoth
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev (UTA) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Nick Schmaltz (UTA) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -190 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -175 |
| Clayton Keller (UTA) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Lawson Crouse (UTA) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
Mammoth: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Hockey Club were 7-37 (.159) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .246
The Mammoth are 18-8 (.692) when scoring a power play goal this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .584
The Mammoth are 27-40 (.403) when recording less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .475
The Hockey Club were 27-15 (.643) when winning the xG advantage last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Mammoth
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 98-122 (.445) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 61-44 (.581) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671
The Flyers are 61-78 (.439) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Mammoth Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mammoth have scored on 17% of rush chances while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Mammoth have scored on 14% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Hockey Club scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Mammoth scored on 8% of rush chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have secondary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 13 cycle chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers scored on 6% of cycle chances on the power play last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Mammoth Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mammoth have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Mammoth have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Mammoth have a .806 slot save percentage in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Mammoth had a .897 save percentage last season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have a .885 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Flyers have a .805 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Flyers have allowed 11 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
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