- The Hurricanes are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Lightning
- Lightning vs. Hurricanes Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | FDSO
The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-14) visit Lenovo Center to take on the Carolina Hurricanes (36-15) on Feb. 26 in Raleigh, NC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Hurricanes are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Lightning vs. Hurricanes Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Lightning vs. Hurricanes Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Lightning | +1.5 -190 | 6 -102 | +125 |
| Hurricanes | -1.5 +155 | 6 -118 | -150 |
Lightning vs Hurricanes Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Hurricanes will win this game with 78.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Lightning vs Hurricanes Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lightning will cover the spread with 76.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+15.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+10.70 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Hurricanes Best Bets & Trends
- The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the 1P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have covered the 1P Puck Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.95 Units / 99% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 29-27 against the spread this NHL season (+12.4 Units / 17.79% ROI).
- Lightning are 38-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units /13.29% ROI
- Lightning are 26-27 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -5.62% ROI
- Lightning are 27-26 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units /-2.5% ROI
Hurricanes Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hurricanes are 21-36 against the spread this NHL season (-11.65 Units /-18.1% ROI).
- Hurricanes are 36-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.57% ROI
- Hurricanes are 29-27 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -2.25% ROI
- Hurricanes are 27-29 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -6.84% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Hurricanes vs Lightning
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point (TB) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
| Darren Raddysh (TB) | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Hurricanes vs Lightning
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point (TB) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +130 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +105 |
| Darren Raddysh (TB) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -155 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -125 |
| Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Hurricanes
The Lightning are 37-18 (.673) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 128-88 (.593) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 31-5 (.861) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .712
Hurricanes: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Hurricanes were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Hurricanes are 35-20 (.636) this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Hurricanes are 134-83 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Hurricanes are 56-2 (.966) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .846
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have scored on 28% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning had 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Lightning are 37-18 (.673) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Hurricanes Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hurricanes have 189 forecheck chances this season — most among NHL Teams
The Hurricanes have recorded 35.4 shots per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9
The Hurricanes have recorded 1,947 shots this season — most among NHL Teams
The Hurricanes recorded 34.3 shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have allowed 8.8 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Lightning have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 5% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning have allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Hurricanes Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 15% of cycle chances while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Hurricanes had 151 successful stick checks while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 12% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 14% of cycle chances while tied since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
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