- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Canucks
- Lightning vs. Canucks Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | RSNP
The Tampa Bay Lightning (41-21) visit Rogers Arena to take on the Vancouver Canucks (21-38) on Mar. 19 in Vancouver, BC. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Lightning vs. Canucks Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Lightning vs. Canucks Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Lightning | -1.5 -120 | 6.5 -120 | -300 |
| Canucks | +1.5 +100 | 6.5 +100 | +240 |
Lightning vs Canucks Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Lightning vs Canucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Canucks will cover the spread with 73.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Canucks Best Bets & Trends
- The Vancouver Canucks have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Vancouver Canucks have covered the 1P Puck Line in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Vancouver Canucks have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Vancouver Canucks have hit the 1P Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Vancouver Canucks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 33-33 against the spread this NHL season (+11.05 Units / 13.71% ROI).
- Lightning are 41-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units /2.86% ROI
- Lightning are 32-30 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -0.83% ROI
- Lightning are 30-32 when betting the Under for -4.95 Units /-6.79% ROI
Canucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canucks are 31-36 against the spread this NHL season (-22.7 Units /-20.3% ROI).
- Canucks are 21-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.15 Units / -31.22% ROI
- Canucks are 37-27 when betting the Over for +6.95 Units / 9.3% ROI
- Canucks are 27-37 when betting the Under for -13.45 Units / -18.3% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canucks vs Lightning
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | +115 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +145 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +170 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | +175 |
| Brock Boeser (VAN) | +270 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | +270 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Canucks vs Lightning
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point (TB) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Victor Hedman (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Canucks vs Lightning
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point (TB) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Victor Hedman (TB) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -140 |
| Drew O'Connor (VAN) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Canucks
The Lightning are 41-24 (.631) this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 129-90 (.589) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 87-57 (.604) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Canucks: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Canucks are 6-16 (.273) when winning the xG advantage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .637
The Canucks are 21-45 (.318) this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canucks are 5-16 (.238) when drawing more penalties this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .475
The Canucks are 58-88 (.397) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning have 9.7 points per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Lightning had 5 cycle chances while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Lightning averaged 17.6 high danger chances per game last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15.0
Canucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canucks have scored on 14% of rush chances while tied since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Canucks had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Canucks are 6-16 (.273) when winning the xG advantage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .637
The Canucks have scored on 24% of cycle chances this month — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Lightning have allowed 9.6 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Lightning have allowed 1.74 expected goals per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.10
Canucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canucks have a .690 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Canucks have a .823 save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .892
The Canucks have allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Canucks have allowed 10 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
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