- The Blue Jackets are a +1.5 goal favorite vs. the Lightning
- Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | FDOH
The Tampa Bay Lightning (32-13) visit Nationwide Arena to take on the Columbus Blue Jackets (23-20) on Jan. 24 in Columbus, OH. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Blue Jackets are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at +1.5 (-235).
The Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lightning | -1.5 +190 | 6.5 -118 | +185 |
| Blue Jackets | +1.5 -235 | 6.5 -102 | -102 |
Lightning vs Blue Jackets Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Lightning vs Blue Jackets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Blue Jackets will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+15.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jackets Best Bets & Trends
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have hit the 1P Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 25-24 against the spread this NHL season (+10.15 Units / 16.19% ROI).
- Lightning are 32-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units /9.06% ROI
- Lightning are 22-25 when betting the Over for -5.25 Units / -9.74% ROI
- Lightning are 25-22 when betting the Under for +1.05 Units /1.94% ROI
Blue Jackets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Blue Jackets are 26-24 against the spread this NHL season (-6.15 Units /-7.22% ROI).
- Blue Jackets are 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -5.52% ROI
- Blue Jackets are 23-25 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -8.39% ROI
- Blue Jackets are 25-23 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Blue Jackets vs Lightning
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | +135 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +155 |
| Kirill Marchenko (CBJ) | +180 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +185 |
| Adam Fantilli (CBJ) | +190 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | +280 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Blue Jackets vs Lightning
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Marchenko (CBJ) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Adam Fantilli (CBJ) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Damon Severson (CBJ) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ivan Provorov (CBJ) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -145 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Blue Jackets vs Lightning
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Marchenko (CBJ) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| Adam Fantilli (CBJ) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -125 |
| Ivan Provorov (CBJ) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Blue Jackets
The Lightning are 123-87 (.586) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 32-17 (.653) this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 78-50 (.609) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Blue Jackets: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Blue Jackets are 22-27 (.449) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Blue Jackets are 89-123 (.420) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Blue Jackets are 46-33 (.582) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .670
The Blue Jackets are 15-22 (.405) when allowing 5 or more rush chances this season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .456
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have scored on 29% of second chance opportunities on the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 18%
The Lightning have 2.6 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Lightning had 9.6 points per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.1
Blue Jackets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Blue Jackets scored on 20% of rush chances while leading last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Blue Jackets have averaged 1.0 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this month — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Blue Jackets had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Blue Jackets have scored on 3% of rush chances on the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 5% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning have allowed 4.1 high danger chances per game in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.9
The Lightning have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
Blue Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Blue Jackets allowed 6 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Blue Jackets have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Blue Jackets have allowed 162 forecheck chances this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Blue Jackets have allowed 11 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
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