- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Kraken
- Kraken vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: KHN | KONG | MSGB | Amazon
The Seattle Kraken (32-29) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (44-20) on Mar. 28 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 5:30 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Kraken vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Kraken vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Kraken vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Kraken vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Kraken Best Bets & Trends
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have covered the 1P Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Kraken Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kraken are 45-26 against the spread this NHL season (+6.05 Units / 4.81% ROI).
- Kraken are 32-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units /0.53% ROI
- Kraken are 29-35 when betting the Over for -9.1 Units / -11.64% ROI
- Kraken are 35-29 when betting the Under for +3.55 Units /4.53% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 42-31 against the spread this NHL season (+14.8 Units /13.75% ROI).
- Sabres are 44-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.7 Units / 16.5% ROI
- Sabres are 34-36 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -7.23% ROI
- Sabres are 36-34 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / -1.12% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Kraken
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jordan Eberle (SEA) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Matty Beniers (SEA) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Brandon Montour (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Kraken
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -175 |
| Jordan Eberle (SEA) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -185 |
| Matty Beniers (SEA) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +130 |
| Brandon Montour (SEA) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +135 |
Kraken: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Kraken are 31-38 (.449) this season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken are 96-125 (.434) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken are 65-84 (.436) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Kraken
The Sabres are 42-29 (.592) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 2-28 (.067) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .144
The Sabres are 27-3 (.900) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .833
Kraken Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kraken scored on 10% of second chance opportunities last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Kraken have averaged 0.1 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Kraken have 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Kraken have scored on 24% of second chance opportunities this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Sabres have drawn 20 penalties in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 86 forecheck chances in the second period last season — most among NHL Teams
Kraken Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kraken have a .533 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
The Kraken allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Kraken have a .750 slot save percentage this month — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .827
The Kraken have a .736 slot save percentage in 5v5 situations this month — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .838
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres have a .652 slot save percentage in overtime this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .800
The Sabres allowed 3.55 expected goals per game last season — 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
The Sabres allowed 1.31 expected goals per game in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.09
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