- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Kraken
- Kraken vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | KHN | KONG | Amazon
The Seattle Kraken (31-29) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (44-21) on Mar. 26 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Kraken vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Kraken vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Kraken vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Kraken vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Kraken will cover the spread with 83.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Kraken Best Bets & Trends
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have covered the 1P Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the 3P Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 15 away games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Kraken Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kraken are 44-26 against the spread this NHL season (+5.05 Units / 4.04% ROI).
- Kraken are 31-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units /-2.69% ROI
- Kraken are 28-35 when betting the Over for -10.1 Units / -13.09% ROI
- Kraken are 35-28 when betting the Under for +4.75 Units /6.16% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 36-34 against the spread this NHL season (+14.35 Units /16.89% ROI).
- Lightning are 44-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 3.82% ROI
- Lightning are 36-30 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 4.42% ROI
- Lightning are 30-36 when betting the Under for -9.45 Units / -12.21% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Kraken
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle (SEA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Brandon Montour (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Chandler Stephenson (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gage Goncalves (TB) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Kraken
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle (SEA) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
| Brandon Montour (SEA) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -185 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -185 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -150 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 +100 |
Kraken: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Kraken are 96-125 (.434) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken are 30-38 (.441) this season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken are 5-34 (.128) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .283
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Kraken
The Lightning are 43-25 (.632) this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 129-90 (.589) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 27-12 (.692) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .499
Kraken Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kraken scored on 10% of second chance opportunities last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Kraken scored on 9% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Kraken have 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Kraken have averaged 2.71 expected goals per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have scored on 26% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning have 9.8 points per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Lightning primary assisted on 11 goals while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Lightning have 2.5 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
Kraken Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kraken have a .533 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Kraken had a .795 slot save percentage in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .839
The Kraken allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Kraken have a .729 slot save percentage in 5v5 situations this month — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .837
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Lightning had a .800 save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .893
The Lightning have allowed 14.7 high danger chances per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.2
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