- The Penguins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Jets
- Jets vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: TSN3 | SNPT | NHL
The Winnipeg Jets (28-29) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (34-18) on Mar. 21 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 1:00 pm.
The Penguins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Jets vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Jets vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Jets | +1.5 -180 | 6 -105 | +135 |
| Penguins | -1.5 +145 | 6 -115 | -160 |
Jets vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Penguins will win this game with 68.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Jets vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 64.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Jets Best Bets & Trends
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 away games (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the 2P Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the 1P Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 away games (+1.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+10.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jets are 30-38 against the spread this NHL season (-8.05 Units / -8.19% ROI).
- Jets are 28-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units /-22.39% ROI
- Jets are 35-32 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 0.74% ROI
- Jets are 32-35 when betting the Under for -5.95 Units /-7.92% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 41-27 against the spread this NHL season (+14 Units /13.36% ROI).
- Penguins are 34-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 2.41% ROI
- Penguins are 36-30 when betting the Over for +3.05 Units / 4.05% ROI
- Penguins are 30-36 when betting the Under for -9.65 Units / -12.82% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Penguins vs Jets
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor (WIN) | +160 |
| Mark Scheifele (WIN) | +185 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +190 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +190 |
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +195 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Pit) | +225 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor (WIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gabriel Vilardi (WIN) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Bryan Rust (PIT) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang (PIT) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Kyle Connor (WIN) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +125 |
| Gabriel Vilardi (WIN) | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +100 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
Jets: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Jets were 55-25 (.688) last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Jets are 130-91 (.588) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Jets were 42-8 (.840) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568
The Jets are 27-40 (.403) this season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Jets
The Penguins are 12-28 (.300) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Jets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jets have scored on 32% of cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Jets have scored on 11% of cycle chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Jets scored on 21% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Jets have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 7 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 56 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 33 cycle chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 24 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
Jets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jets allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Jets have a .847 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Jets have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Jets allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins have allowed 8 forecheck chances while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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