- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Jets
- Jets vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | TSN3
The Winnipeg Jets (21-24) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (33-14) on Jan. 29 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+118).
The Jets vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Jets vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | +1.5 -145 | 6 -120 | +170 |
| Lightning | -1.5 +118 | 6 +100 | –210 |
Jets vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 85.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Jets vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lightning will cover the spread with 81.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Jets Best Bets & Trends
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have covered the 1P Puck Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the 1P Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Winnipeg Jets have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jets are 25-27 against the spread this NHL season (-0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI).
- Jets are 21-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units /-25.93% ROI
- Jets are 30-21 when betting the Over for +7.6 Units / 13.28% ROI
- Jets are 21-30 when betting the Under for -11.5 Units /-20.03% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 26-25 against the spread this NHL season (+10.7 Units /16.54% ROI).
- Lightning are 33-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 8.55% ROI
- Lightning are 23-26 when betting the Over for -5.35 Units / -9.55% ROI
- Lightning are 26-23 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 1.51% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Lightning vs Jets
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | +120 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +150 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +160 |
| Kyle Connor (WIN) | +180 |
| Mark Scheifele (WIN) | +220 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor (WIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -105 |
| Jonathan Toews (WIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Alex Iafallo (WIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor (WIN) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +120 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +125 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -110 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +120 |
Jets: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Jets were 55-25 (.688) last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Jets are 21-30 (.412) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Jets are 128-85 (.601) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Jets were 18-3 (.857) when recording 35 or more shots on goal last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .556
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Jets
The Lightning are 33-18 (.647) this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 124-88 (.585) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 22-8 (.733) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .466
Jets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jets have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Jets have scored on 39% of cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Jets have scored on 34% of cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Jets have scored on 11% of cycle chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have 2.6 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning have scored on 30% of second chance opportunities on the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 18%
The Lightning averaged 17.6 high danger chances per game last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Lightning averaged 5.8 high danger chances per game in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.7
Jets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jets have a .850 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Jets allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Jets have a .915 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Jets have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have allowed 4.2 high danger chances per game in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.9
The Lightning have allowed 8.8 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11.7
The Lightning have allowed 1.67 expected goals per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.08
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 5% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
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