- The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sharks
- Islanders vs. Sharks Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: NSCA | MSGS
The New York Islanders (35-23) visit SAP Center at San Jose to take on the San Jose Sharks (30-25) on Mar. 7 in San Jose, CA. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Islanders vs. Sharks Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Islanders vs. Sharks Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Islanders | -1.5 +180 | 6 +100 | -135 |
| Sharks | +1.5 -220 | 6 -120 | +110 |
Islanders vs Sharks Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Islanders vs Sharks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Sharks Best Bets & Trends
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 1P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 34-29 against the spread this NHL season (-5.4 Units / -4.94% ROI).
- Islanders are 35-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units /12.49% ROI
- Islanders are 29-32 when betting the Over for -5.85 Units / -8.4% ROI
- Islanders are 32-29 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units /1.07% ROI
Sharks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sharks are 38-22 against the spread this NHL season (+10.6 Units /11.73% ROI).
- Sharks are 30-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.9 Units / 22.51% ROI
- Sharks are 29-29 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -4.98% ROI
- Sharks are 29-29 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units / -2.25% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Sharks vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Michael Misa (SJ) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sharks vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -175 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -130 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Kiefer Sherwood (SJ) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -155 |
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Sharks
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 35-26 (.574) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 13-2 (.867) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .487
The Islanders were 11-22 (.333) when drawing more penalties last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508
Sharks: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
The Sharks were 9-50 (.153) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders have scored on 11% of second chance opportunities this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have scored on 12% of rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Sharks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
The Sharks averaged 0.85 expected goals per game in the third period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.09
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have a .846 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 7% of second chance opportunities in the third period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Sharks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks allowed 1.3 goals per game while tied last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sharks allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Sharks allowed 333 cycle chances against the power play last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sharks allowed 396 cycle chances in the second period last season — most among NHL Teams
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