- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Islanders
- Islanders vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MSGS | TSN5 | RDS2
The New York Islanders (39-24) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (34-24) on Mar. 19 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Islanders vs. Senators Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Islanders vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Islanders | +1.5 -220 | 6 -110 | +110 |
| Senators | -1.5 +180 | 6 -110 | -135 |
Islanders vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 60.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Islanders vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 43% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 3P Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 35-33 against the spread this NHL season (-7.75 Units / -6.78% ROI).
- Islanders are 39-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units /14.67% ROI
- Islanders are 30-36 when betting the Over for -9.15 Units / -12.19% ROI
- Islanders are 36-30 when betting the Under for +3.65 Units /4.83% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 31-36 against the spread this NHL season (+0.7 Units /0.8% ROI).
- Senators are 34-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -7.03% ROI
- Senators are 36-30 when betting the Over for +2.25 Units / 2.98% ROI
- Senators are 30-36 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -11.99% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Senators vs Islanders
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk (Ott) | +170 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +180 |
| Tim Stuetzle (OTT) | +200 |
| Drake Batherson (Ott) | +225 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +240 |
| Dylan Cozens (OTT) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Senators vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jordan Spence (OTT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Senators vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ridly Greig (OTT) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -130 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Warren Foegele (OTT) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -125 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 16-5 (.762) when tied after the second period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 38-29 (.567) this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders were 4-10 (.286) when tied after the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Senators are 11-23 (.324) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .468
The Senators are 2-20 (.091) when trailing after the second period this season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .147
The Senators were 30-12 (.714) when having 3 or more xG. last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
The Senators are 11-13 (.458) when tied after the first period this season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders have 1,198 high danger chances this season — 10th most among NHL Teams
The Islanders have averaged 17.9 high danger chances per game this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.2
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 21 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 25 slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 11 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 6% of cycle chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 7% of second chance opportunities in the third period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have a .794 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have a .814 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 26% of second chance opportunities this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 31% of second chance opportunities in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%
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