Islanders vs Ducks Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 4

Fans wait for the Boston Bruins and Anaheim Ducks to face off at the Honda Center before an NHL hockey game Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2025, in Anaheim, Calif.
(AP Photo/Ethan Swope)
  • The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Ducks
  • Islanders vs. Ducks Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
  • TV Channel: VIC+ | KCOP | MSGS | RSN

The New York Islanders (35-21) visit Honda Center to take on the Anaheim Ducks (33-23) on Mar. 4 in Anaheim, CA. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.

The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).

The Islanders vs. Ducks Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.

Islanders vs. Ducks Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Islanders-1.5 +2006.5 -105-110
Ducks+1.5 -2506.5 -115-110

Islanders vs Ducks Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Islanders vs Ducks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Anaheim Ducks have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Islanders are 34-27 against the spread this NHL season (-2.05 Units / -1.93% ROI).

  • Islanders are 35-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units /16.03% ROI
  • Islanders are 28-31 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -8.39% ROI
  • Islanders are 31-28 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units /1.26% ROI

Ducks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ducks are 29-30 against the spread this NHL season (-13.45 Units /-13.52% ROI).

  • Ducks are 33-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 12.26% ROI
  • Ducks are 37-23 when betting the Over for +11.1 Units / 16.02% ROI
  • Ducks are 23-37 when betting the Under for -16.15 Units / -24.73% ROI

Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Ducks

The Islanders are 13-2 (.867) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .487

The Islanders are 35-26 (.574) this season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Islanders were 11-22 (.333) when drawing more penalties last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508

Ducks: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders

The Ducks were 35-46 (.432) last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Ducks are 33-26 (.559) this season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Ducks are 95-127 (.428) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Ducks are undefeated (18-0) when leading after the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856

The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2

The Islanders had 164 second chance scoring opportunities last season — 7th most among NHL Teams

The Islanders scored on 12% of rush chances last season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Islanders are 13-2 (.867) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .487

The Ducks have recorded 1.2 shots per game while shorthanded this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.8

The Ducks have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Ducks have secondary assisted on 12 goals in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Ducks have averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 8% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Islanders have a .862 slot save percentage in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .840

The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 6% of cycle chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Ducks allowed 8.1 rush chances per game last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Ducks have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Ducks made 12.4 saves per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9.5

The Ducks allowed 267 rush chances while tied last season — most among NHL Teams


National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM

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Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more. 

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