- The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Islanders
- Islanders vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: CITY | RSNE | TVA | MSGS
The New York Islanders (39-25) visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens (37-21) on Mar. 21 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Islanders vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Islanders vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Islanders | +1.5 -220 | 6 -118 | +110 |
| Canadiens | -1.5 +180 | 6 -102 | -135 |
Islanders vs Canadiens Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 60.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Islanders vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Canadiens will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 36-33 against the spread this NHL season (-6.75 Units / -5.79% ROI).
- Islanders are 39-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units /13.23% ROI
- Islanders are 30-37 when betting the Over for -10.2 Units / -13.4% ROI
- Islanders are 37-30 when betting the Under for +4.65 Units /6.07% ROI
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 38-30 against the spread this NHL season (+7.45 Units /6.97% ROI).
- Canadiens are 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 4.22% ROI
- Canadiens are 40-26 when betting the Over for +10.8 Units / 14.19% ROI
- Canadiens are 26-40 when betting the Under for -17.85 Units / -23.93% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canadiens vs Islanders
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | +155 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | +195 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) | +200 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +175 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +270 |
| Anders Lee (NYI) | +310 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Canadiens vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook (MTL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Brayden Schenn (NYI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Canadiens vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +130 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +140 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -160 |
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 13-3 (.812) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .483
The Islanders are 38-30 (.559) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders were 11-22 (.333) when drawing more penalties last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Canadiens are 37-30 (.552) this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 6-85 (.066) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens were 28-3 (.903) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders have averaged 17.8 high danger chances per game this season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.3
The Islanders have scored on 10% of second chance opportunities this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
The Islanders had 1,251 high danger chances last season — 9th most among NHL Teams
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have 15 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have drawn 93 penalties while tied this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Canadiens have primary assisted on 218 goals this season — tied for 5th most among NHL Teams
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have a .846 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have 113.8 goals saved above expected in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 41.5
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
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