- The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Islanders
- Islanders vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MSGS | TSN2 | RDS
The New York Islanders (32-21) visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens (32-17) on Feb. 26 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Islanders vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Islanders vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Islanders | +1.5 -190 | 6 -102 | +125 |
| Canadiens | -1.5 +155 | 6 -118 | -150 |
Islanders vs Canadiens Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 75.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Islanders vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 63.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 away games (+14.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.25 Units / 39% ROI)
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the 2P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 31-27 against the spread this NHL season (-5.05 Units / -5.06% ROI).
- Islanders are 32-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units /11.22% ROI
- Islanders are 25-31 when betting the Over for -8.65 Units / -13.53% ROI
- Islanders are 31-25 when betting the Under for +4.05 Units /6.28% ROI
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 34-23 against the spread this NHL season (+9.4 Units /10% ROI).
- Canadiens are 32-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 8.66% ROI
- Canadiens are 34-21 when betting the Over for +10.7 Units / 17.05% ROI
- Canadiens are 21-34 when betting the Under for -16.95 Units / -26.9% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Canadiens vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -235 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Canadiens vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +105 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +115 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Islanders are 32-24 (.571) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 11-1 (.917) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .505
The Islanders are 52-38 (.578) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Canadiens are 30-25 (.545) this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 99-118 (.456) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 25-17 (.595) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .533
The Canadiens are 19-8 (.704) when having 3 or more xG. this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .592
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders have 5 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this month — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Islanders have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Islanders are 32-24 (.571) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Canadiens have primary assisted on 175 goals this season — 7th most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 15 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have averaged 0.88 expected goals per game in the third period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 11% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 5% of cycle chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Islanders have 63.9 goals saved above expected in the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 18.3
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Canadiens have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
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