- The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Blues
- Islanders vs. Blues Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | HBOM | tru
The New York Islanders (36-23) visit Enterprise Center to take on the St. Louis Blues (25-29) on Mar. 10 in St. Louis, MO. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+190).
The Islanders vs. Blues Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Islanders vs. Blues Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Islanders | -1.5 +190 | 5.5 -110 | -130 |
| Blues | +1.5 -235 | 5.5 -110 | +105 |
Islanders vs Blues Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 58.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Islanders vs Blues Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Blues Best Bets & Trends
- The St. Louis Blues have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the 1P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.85 Units / 91% ROI)
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 34-30 against the spread this NHL season (-6.4 Units / -5.8% ROI).
- Islanders are 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units /13.61% ROI
- Islanders are 29-33 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -9.7% ROI
- Islanders are 33-29 when betting the Under for +1.75 Units /2.46% ROI
Blues Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Blues are 33-30 against the spread this NHL season (-7.75 Units /-7.2% ROI).
- Blues are 25-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -18.36% ROI
- Blues are 29-32 when betting the Over for -5.85 Units / -8.44% ROI
- Blues are 32-29 when betting the Under for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Blues vs Islanders
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +155 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +210 |
| Jordan Kyrou (StL) | +240 |
| Dylan Holloway (STL) | +240 |
| Brayden Schenn (NYI) | +290 |
| Pavel Buchnevich (StL) | +310 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Blues vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud (STL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jordan Kyrou (STL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Blues vs Islanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -150 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud (STL) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| Jordan Kyrou (STL) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +105 |
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Blues
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 36-28 (.562) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 13-3 (.812) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .484
The Islanders are 26-7 (.788) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .716
Blues: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Blues are 25-38 (.397) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Blues are 11-16 (.407) when winning the xG advantage this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
The Blues are 4-36 (.100) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .284
The Blues were 28-2 (.933) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .865
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders have 143 second chance scoring opportunities this season — 3rd most among NHL Teams
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Blues Offensive Stats & Trends
The Blues scored on 20% of second chance opportunities last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Blues have scored on 6% of rush chances while leading this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Blues have averaged 2.68 expected goals per game this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09
The Blues have scored on 6% of second chance opportunities in the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 8% of second chance opportunities this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have 111.5 goals saved above expected in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 39.6
Blues Defensive Stats & Trends
The Blues allowed opponents to score on 17% of cycle chances against the power play last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Blues have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Blues have a .787 slot save percentage in the second period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Blues have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
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