Hurricanes vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 20

Toronto Maple Leafs head coach Craig Berube gives instructions during the third period of an NHL hockey game against the Pittsburgh Penguins in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Nov. 29, 2025.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Hurricanes are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
  • Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: FDSO | RSNO | TVA | NHL

The Carolina Hurricanes (43-19) visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-28) on Mar. 20 in Toronto, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Hurricanes are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Hurricanes-1.5 +1106 +105-220
Maple Leafs+1.5 -1356 -130+180

Hurricanes vs Maple Leafs Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Hurricanes will win this game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Hurricanes vs Maple Leafs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Maple Leafs will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Carolina Hurricanes have covered the 1P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Carolina Hurricanes have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+5.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in their last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 2P Puck Line in their last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 3P Puck Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.85 Units / 74% ROI)

Hurricanes Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Hurricanes are 25-43 against the spread this NHL season (-13.45 Units / -17.46% ROI).

  • Hurricanes are 43-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units /0.7% ROI
  • Hurricanes are 36-31 when betting the Over for +1.35 Units / 1.77% ROI
  • Hurricanes are 31-36 when betting the Under for -8.05 Units /-10.92% ROI

Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maple Leafs are 29-40 against the spread this NHL season (-19.15 Units /-18.39% ROI).

  • Maple Leafs are 29-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -15.74% ROI
  • Maple Leafs are 37-27 when betting the Over for +7.05 Units / 9.22% ROI
  • Maple Leafs are 27-37 when betting the Under for -13.55 Units / -17.89% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Seth Jarvis (CAR) +160
Sebastian Aho (CAR) +160
William Nylander (Tor) +175
Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) +190
John Tavares (Tor) +210
Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) +220

Points Per Game Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes

Player Name Over Under
Jake McCabe (TOR) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
K'Andre Miller (CAR) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (TOR) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Logan Stankoven (CAR) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Matthew Knies (TOR) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Shots on Goal Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes

Player Name Over Under
Jordan Staal (CAR) 1.5 -105 1.5 -130
Jaccob Slavin (CAR) 1.5 -110 1.5 -125
Mike Reilly (CAR) 1.5 +110 1.5 -150
K'Andre Miller (CAR) 1.5 -110 1.5 -120
Logan Stankoven (CAR) 1.5 -185 1.5 +130

Hurricanes: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs

The Hurricanes are 137-84 (.620) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Hurricanes were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Hurricanes are 47-21 (.691) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Hurricanes are 42-25 (.627) this season — tied for 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Hurricanes

The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Maple Leafs are 29-39 (.426) this season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Maple Leafs are 20-33 (.377) when allowing 5 or more rush chances this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .463

The Hurricanes have 225 forecheck chances this season — most among NHL Teams

The Hurricanes have recorded 35.6 shots per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9

The Hurricanes have 463 forecheck chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams

The Hurricanes had 89 forecheck chances in the third period last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Maple Leafs have scored on 20% of rush chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Maple Leafs secondary assisted on 191 goals last season — tied for 10th most among NHL Teams

The Maple Leafs primary assisted on 235 goals last season — tied for 10th most among NHL Teams

The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 17% of cycle chances while tied this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 12% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 13% of cycle chances while tied since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Hurricanes had 151 successful stick checks while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams

The Maple Leafs have made 30.8 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.8

The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%

The Maple Leafs have made 10.2 saves per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 0% of rush chances against the power play last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%


National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM

At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.

Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more. 

BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.