- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Hurricanes
- Hurricanes vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | FDSO
The Carolina Hurricanes (41-18) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (40-20) on Mar. 14 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Hurricanes vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Hurricanes vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Hurricanes | +1.5 -210 | 6.5 -120 | +115 |
| Lightning | -1.5 +170 | 6.5 +100 | -140 |
Hurricanes vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Hurricanes vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Hurricanes will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Hurricanes Best Bets & Trends
- The Carolina Hurricanes have covered the 1P Puck Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the 1P Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have covered the Puck Line in 6 of their last 11 away games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Hurricanes Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hurricanes are 24-41 against the spread this NHL season (-12.45 Units / -17.1% ROI).
- Hurricanes are 41-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units /-0.04% ROI
- Hurricanes are 35-29 when betting the Over for +2.45 Units / 3.35% ROI
- Hurricanes are 29-35 when betting the Under for -8.95 Units /-12.72% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 32-32 against the spread this NHL season (+10.7 Units /13.61% ROI).
- Lightning are 40-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 3.24% ROI
- Lightning are 31-29 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -0.85% ROI
- Lightning are 29-31 when betting the Under for -4.95 Units / -7% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Lightning vs Hurricanes
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | +140 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +190 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +190 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | +200 |
| Sebastian Aho (CAR) | +200 |
| Seth Jarvis (CAR) | +185 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Hurricanes
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point (TB) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Darren Raddysh (TB) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Victor Hedman (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Hurricanes
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point (TB) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +105 |
| Darren Raddysh (TB) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -160 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 1.5 +120 | 1.5 -165 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
Hurricanes: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Hurricanes were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Hurricanes are 137-84 (.620) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Hurricanes are 47-21 (.691) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Hurricanes are 31-13 (.705) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Hurricanes
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 86-57 (.601) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 31-18 (.633) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .470
The Lightning are 40-24 (.625) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Hurricanes Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hurricanes have 0.5 rush chances per game on the power play since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.3
The Hurricanes have 214 forecheck chances this season — most among NHL Teams
The Hurricanes recorded 34.3 shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
The Hurricanes have recorded 2,306 shots this season — most among NHL Teams
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning have 2.6 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning had 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning have scored on 26% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning primary assisted on 11 goals while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Hurricanes Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 12% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 11% of cycle chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 15% of cycle chances while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Hurricanes have allowed opponents to score on 17% of cycle chances while tied this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 5% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning had a .800 save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .893
The Lightning have allowed 9.6 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12.0
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