- The Senators are a +1.5 goal underdog vs. the Golden Knights
- Golden Knights vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SCRI | TSN5 | RDS2
The Vegas Golden Knights (25-13) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (23-21) on Jan. 25 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 5:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at +1.5 (-200).
The Golden Knights vs. Senators Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Golden Knights vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Golden Knights | -1.5 +180 | 6.5 +100 | -135 |
| Senators | +1.5 -220 | 6.5 -120 | +115 |
Golden Knights vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 72.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Golden Knights vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 17-33 against the spread this NHL season (-10.55 Units / -18.4% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 25-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units /-15.85% ROI
- Golden Knights are 27-20 when betting the Over for +5.25 Units / 9.43% ROI
- Golden Knights are 20-27 when betting the Under for -9.25 Units /-16.79% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 20-31 against the spread this NHL season (-8.45 Units /-12.47% ROI).
- Senators are 23-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -16.35% ROI
- Senators are 29-21 when betting the Over for +5.25 Units / 9.13% ROI
- Senators are 21-29 when betting the Under for -10 Units / -18.17% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Senators vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jack Eichel (Veg) | +150 |
| Mark Stone (Veg) | +180 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev (VEG) | +185 |
| Brady Tkachuk (Ott) | +185 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | +210 |
| Tim Stutzle (Ott) | +210 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Senators vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Rasmus Andersson (VEG) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Senators vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
| Rasmus Andersson (VEG) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 72-56 (.562) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 117-93 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 1-13 (.071) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .174
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Senators are 23-27 (.460) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 6-13 (.316) when recording less than 30 shots on goal this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .502
The Senators were 7-10 (.412) when tied after the second period last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 16-60 (.211) when trailing after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .265
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights had 963 slot shots in 5v5 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights scored on 11% of cycle chances last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Golden Knights have primary assisted on 156 goals this season — tied for 10th most among NHL Teams
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 16 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 10 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 38 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 2.5 high danger chances per game against the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.7
The Golden Knights allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 25% of second chance opportunities this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have a .878 save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .898
The Senators have a .792 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 23% of rush chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
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