- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Golden Knights
- Golden Knights vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: MSGB | SCRI
The Vegas Golden Knights (28-18) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (35-19) on Mar. 3 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Golden Knights vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Golden Knights vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Golden Knights | +1.5 -200 | 6.5 -120 | +118 |
| Sabres | -1.5 +165 | 6.5 +100 | -145 |
Golden Knights vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 80.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Golden Knights vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 66.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 games (+21.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 2P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 22-38 against the spread this NHL season (-9.75 Units / -13.64% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.65 Units /-19.47% ROI
- Golden Knights are 32-25 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 6.89% ROI
- Golden Knights are 25-32 when betting the Under for -9.7 Units /-14.7% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 36-24 against the spread this NHL season (+13 Units /14.12% ROI).
- Sabres are 35-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 17.67% ROI
- Sabres are 29-28 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -2.19% ROI
- Sabres are 28-29 when betting the Under for -3.95 Units / -5.95% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Zach Benson (BUF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 2.5 -118 | 2.5 -115 |
| Rasmus Andersson (VEG) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -165 |
| Jack Eichel (VEG) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +120 |
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Golden Knights are 28-32 (.467) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 121-100 (.548) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 76-63 (.547) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 35-25 (.583) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 30-13 (.698) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .533
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights have scored 18 power play goals in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 963 slot shots in 5v5 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have scored on 20% of rush chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres have 154 forecheck chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Golden Knights allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have 25.4 goals saved above expected in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Sabres had 38 successful stick checks in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Sabres have allowed 0.8 goals per game in the second period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
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