- The Golden Knights are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | HBOM | TVA | R360
The Vegas Golden Knights (28-17) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (30-15) on Mar. 1 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 1:00 pm.
The Golden Knights are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+154).
The Golden Knights vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Golden Knights vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Golden Knights | -1.5 +154 | 6.5 -120 | -155 |
| Penguins | +1.5 -190 | 6.5 +100 | +125 |
Golden Knights vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Golden Knights vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the Puck Line in their last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 22-37 against the spread this NHL season (-8.75 Units / -12.41% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units /-18.19% ROI
- Golden Knights are 32-24 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 8.68% ROI
- Golden Knights are 24-32 when betting the Under for -10.7 Units /-16.49% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 35-23 against the spread this NHL season (+14.2 Units /16.22% ROI).
- Penguins are 30-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 4.48% ROI
- Penguins are 29-27 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -1.1% ROI
- Penguins are 27-29 when betting the Under for -5.25 Units / -8.13% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Penguins vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jack Eichel (Veg) | +160 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev (VEG) | +165 |
| Mark Stone (Veg) | +195 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | +200 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Pit) | +220 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +225 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +110 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
| Bryan Rust (PIT) | 2.5 -125 | 2.5 -110 |
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 37-8 (.822) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
The Golden Knights are 119-96 (.553) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 74-59 (.556) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Penguins are 11-25 (.306) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 60-74 (.448) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 5-82 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins are winless (0-17) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .171
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights have 165 inner slot shots in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 15.4 slot shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Golden Knights have scored 16 power play goals in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins scored on 12% of second chance opportunities last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Penguins have 30 forecheck chances while leading this month — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have scored on 8% of rush chances while tied since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins have 7.3 slot shots per game in the second period this month — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.9
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 2.7 high danger chances per game against the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.7
The Golden Knights have allowed 0.42 expected goals per game against the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.63
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins have allowed opponents to score on 6% of cycle chances while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
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