- The Maple Leafs are a +1.5 goal favorite vs. the Golden Knights
- Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: SCRI | RSN | TVA
The Vegas Golden Knights (24-13) visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (24-17) on Jan. 23 in Toronto, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Maple Leafs are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at +1.5 (-235).
The Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Golden Knights | -1.5 +195 | 6 -102 | +200 |
| Maple Leafs | +1.5 -235 | 6 -118 | -118 |
Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Golden Knights will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+7.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 3P Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+5.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 16-33 against the spread this NHL season (-12.6 Units / -22.36% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units /-17.35% ROI
- Golden Knights are 26-20 when betting the Over for+4.25 Units / 7.78% ROI
- Golden Knights are 20-26 when betting the Under for-8.05 Units /-14.94% ROI
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 23-27 against the spread this NHL season (-6.6 Units /-8.76% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -8.4% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 29-19 when betting the Over for+8.2 Units / 14.81% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 19-29 when betting the Under for-12.65 Units / -23.04% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews (TOR) | +110 |
| Jack Eichel (Veg) | +170 |
| Mark Stone (Veg) | +185 |
| John Tavares (Tor) | +200 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev (VEG) | +210 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | +220 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matias Maccelli (TOR) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jake McCabe (TOR) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Max Domi (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Mark Stone (VEG) | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -235 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matias Maccelli (TOR) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 2.5 -118 | 2.5 -115 |
| Max Domi (TOR) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Mark Stone (VEG) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
| Jack Eichel (VEG) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -130 |
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 116-93 (.555) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 71-56 (.559) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 37-8 (.822) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Maple Leafs are 23-26 (.469) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 119-91 (.567) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 36-13 (.735) when creating 5 or more rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .544
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights had 15.4 slot shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Golden Knights had 963 slot shots in 5v5 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 1,213 slot shots last season — most among NHL Teams
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 24% of rush chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 14% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 15% of rush chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 2.5 high danger chances per game against the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.7
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed opponents to score on 20% of rush chances in the first period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have 14.8 goals saved above expected against the power play this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.3
The Maple Leafs have allowed 14 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
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