- The Capitals are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Golden Knights
- Golden Knights vs. Capitals Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: MNMT | SCRI | RSN | NHL
The Vegas Golden Knights (28-16) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Capitals (30-23) on Feb. 27 in Washington, D.C., DC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Capitals are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Golden Knights vs. Capitals Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Golden Knights vs. Capitals Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Golden Knights | +1.5 -250 | 5.5 +100 | -105 |
| Capitals | -1.5 +200 | 5.5 -120 | -115 |
Golden Knights vs Capitals Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Capitals will win this game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Golden Knights vs Capitals Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Capitals will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 25 games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 3P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.70 Units / 63% ROI)
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 21-37 against the spread this NHL season (-9.75 Units / -14.36% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 28-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units /-17.27% ROI
- Golden Knights are 32-23 when betting the Over for +6.8 Units / 10.53% ROI
- Golden Knights are 23-32 when betting the Under for -11.7 Units /-18.34% ROI
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 32-28 against the spread this NHL season (+12.35 Units /15.28% ROI).
- Capitals are 30-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -10.51% ROI
- Capitals are 28-29 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -5.12% ROI
- Capitals are 29-28 when betting the Under for -1.35 Units / -2.04% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Capitals vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +175 |
| Jack Eichel (Veg) | +190 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev (VEG) | +210 |
| Mark Stone (Veg) | +220 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | +240 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +260 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Capitals vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Sourdif (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Capitals vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +115 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +115 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
| Anthony Beauvillier (WAS) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 37-8 (.822) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
The Golden Knights are 119-96 (.553) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 74-59 (.556) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 118-102 (.536) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 78-60 (.565) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 37-14 (.725) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights have 165 inner slot shots in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 15.4 slot shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Golden Knights have scored 16 power play goals in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 5 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 8 high danger chances in 4v4 situations this month — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals scored 280 goals last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 11 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 2.7 high danger chances per game against the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.7
The Golden Knights have allowed 0.42 expected goals per game against the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.63
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Capitals have a .820 save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .892
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
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