- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Golden Knights
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ABC
The Vegas Golden Knights (36-26) visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche (52-16) on Apr. 11 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Golden Knights vs Avalanche Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 63.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Golden Knights vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Golden Knights will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 8 of their last 20 games (+2.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 31-48 against the spread this NHL season (-11.6 Units / -11.79% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 36-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.7 Units /-19.69% ROI
- Golden Knights are 38-38 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -4.27% ROI
- Golden Knights are 38-38 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units /-3.57% ROI
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 40-38 against the spread this NHL season (+11.9 Units /13.9% ROI).
- Avalanche are 52-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.09% ROI
- Avalanche are 31-43 when betting the Over for -17.45 Units / -19.77% ROI
- Avalanche are 43-31 when betting the Under for +10.75 Units / 12.75% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Avalanche vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | +100 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +175 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev (VEG) | +195 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +200 |
| Jack Eichel (Veg) | +200 |
| Mark Stone (Veg) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Avalanche vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Stone (VEG) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jack Eichel (VEG) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Noah Hanifin (VEG) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -325 |
| Shea Theodore (VEG) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Avalanche vs Golden Knights
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Stone (VEG) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Jack Eichel (VEG) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +105 |
| Noah Hanifin (VEG) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -145 |
| Shea Theodore (VEG) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -140 |
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 34-42 (.447) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 121-100 (.548) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 37-8 (.822) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Avalanche are 51-25 (.671) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .459
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights have 5.0 slot shots per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.2
The Golden Knights had 963 slot shots in 5v5 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have recorded 35.7 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9
The Avalanche have recorded 28.5 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.2
The Avalanche have 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Avalanche have 5.6 slot shots per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.4
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have a .793 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
The Golden Knights have a .807 slot save percentage in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .831
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have a .880 save percentage in the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .908
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 33% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Avalanche have a .633 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
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