- The Red Wings are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Flyers vs. Red Wings Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ABC
The Philadelphia Flyers (35-24) visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Red Wings (38-25) on Mar. 28 in Detroit, MI. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Red Wings are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Flyers vs. Red Wings Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flyers vs. Red Wings Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Flyers vs Red Wings Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Red Wings will win this game with 63.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flyers vs Red Wings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+9.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 3P Puck Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 46-25 against the spread this NHL season (+15.1 Units / 12.67% ROI).
- Flyers are 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units /5.09% ROI
- Flyers are 34-35 when betting the Over for -4.75 Units / -6.07% ROI
- Flyers are 35-34 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units /-3.96% ROI
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 37-35 against the spread this NHL season (+0.6 Units /0.55% ROI).
- Red Wings are 39-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 4.83% ROI
- Red Wings are 32-34 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -6.31% ROI
- Red Wings are 34-32 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units / -0.57% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Red Wings vs Flyers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Debrincat (DET) | +150 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | +150 |
| Travis Konecny (Phi) | +210 |
| Owen Tippett (Phi) | +230 |
| Lucas Raymond (DET) | +240 |
| Trevor Zegras (PHI) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Red Wings vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Justin Faulk (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -235 |
| Owen Tippett (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Andrew Copp (DET) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Trevor Zegras (PHI) | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Red Wings vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +125 |
| Justin Faulk (DET) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Owen Tippett (PHI) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Andrew Copp (DET) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -140 |
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Flyers are 67-81 (.453) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 98-122 (.445) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 61-44 (.581) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Red Wings are 39-31 (.557) this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings were 14-27 (.341) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Red Wings are 32-25 (.561) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .530
The Red Wings are 22-16 (.579) when outshooting their opponents this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .514
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have secondary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 13 cycle chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers had 28 slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored 62 power play goals last season — most among NHL Teams
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Flyers had a .768 slot save percentage in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
The Flyers allowed 7 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have allowed 12 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings had a .720 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Red Wings have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Red Wings allowed 0.7 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
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