- The Rangers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Flyers vs. Rangers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Philadelphia Flyers (25-21) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Rangers (22-29) on Feb. 26 in New York, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).
The Flyers vs. Rangers Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flyers vs. Rangers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Flyers | +1.5 -225 | 6 -102 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +185 | 6 -118 | -125 |
Flyers vs Rangers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Rangers will win this game with 59.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flyers vs Rangers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flyers will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 away games (+4.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 43% ROI)
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 34-23 against the spread this NHL season (+4.75 Units / 5.08% ROI).
- Flyers are 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units /-6.36% ROI
- Flyers are 30-25 when betting the Over for +2.25 Units / 3.59% ROI
- Flyers are 25-30 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units /-13.96% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rangers are 28-29 against the spread this NHL season (-9.2 Units /-9.76% ROI).
- Rangers are 22-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -26.42% ROI
- Rangers are 24-31 when betting the Over for -9.95 Units / -15.69% ROI
- Rangers are 31-24 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 8.43% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Rangers vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mika Zibanejad (NYR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Will Cuylle (NYR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vincent Trocheck (NYR) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Rangers vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Mika Zibanejad (NYR) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -135 |
| Will Cuylle (NYR) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +110 |
| Vincent Trocheck (NYR) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Christian Dvorak (PHI) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +130 |
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Rangers
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 96-119 (.447) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 25-29 (.463) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers were 24-14 (.632) when winning the xG advantage last season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
Rangers: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Rangers are 21-34 (.382) this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 4-16 (.200) when tied after the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 59-76 (.437) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 3-28 (.097) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .171
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers scored on 6% of cycle chances on the power play last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have scored on 6% of second chance opportunities while tied this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Flyers have 13 cycle chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Rangers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers averaged 0.16 expected goals per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.08
The Rangers have scored on 14% of rush chances while tied since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Rangers had 0.5 points per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Rangers averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have a .884 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Flyers had a .768 slot save percentage in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
The Flyers had a .878 save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
Rangers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers have allowed 36 forecheck chances against the power play this season — most among NHL Teams
The Rangers allowed 5 cycle chances while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Rangers allowed 7.4 rush chances per game last season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Rangers had a .588 slot save percentage in overtime last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .775
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