- The Penguins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Flyers vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | RSN | TVA | SNPT
The Philadelphia Flyers visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins on Apr. 27 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Penguins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Flyers vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flyers vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Flyers vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Penguins will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flyers vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 80.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 1P Puck Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 55-31 against the spread this NHL season (+14.85 Units / 10.15% ROI).
- Flyers are 46-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units /14.13% ROI
- Flyers are 40-41 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -5.86% ROI
- Flyers are 41-40 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units /-3.44% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 48-38 against the spread this NHL season (+4.85 Units /3.62% ROI).
- Penguins are 42-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.79% ROI
- Penguins are 49-35 when betting the Over for +9.95 Units / 10.25% ROI
- Penguins are 35-49 when betting the Under for -17.85 Units / -18.99% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Penguins vs Flyers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +175 |
| Porter Martone (PHI) | +195 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +200 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +220 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Pit) | +240 |
| Owen Tippett (Phi) | +275 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyson Foerster (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -140 |
| Tyson Foerster (PHI) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -130 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 -125 | 2.5 -110 |
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 98-122 (.445) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 61-44 (.581) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671
The Flyers are 28-106 (.209) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .262
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 15-30 (.333) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have secondary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have drawn 9 penalties in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 4 forecheck chances in overtime this season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 10 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 12.1 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.3
The Penguins had 66 second chance scoring opportunities in the third period last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have a .806 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Flyers had a .768 slot save percentage in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
The Flyers have a .805 slot save percentage in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .831
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed opponents to score on 6% of cycle chances while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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