- The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Flyers vs. Islanders Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: NSP+ | MSGS | RSN | NHL
The Philadelphia Flyers (37-26) visit UBS Arena to take on the New York Islanders (42-29) on Apr. 3 in Elmont, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Flyers vs. Islanders Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flyers vs. Islanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Flyers vs Islanders Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flyers vs Islanders Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 48-27 against the spread this NHL season (+12.1 Units / 9.45% ROI).
- Flyers are 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units /5.44% ROI
- Flyers are 36-36 when betting the Over for -4.05 Units / -4.88% ROI
- Flyers are 36-36 when betting the Under for -4 Units /-4.85% ROI
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 40-36 against the spread this NHL season (-6.75 Units /-5.26% ROI).
- Islanders are 42-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 9.72% ROI
- Islanders are 35-39 when betting the Over for -7.55 Units / -8.99% ROI
- Islanders are 39-35 when betting the Under for +1.15 Units / 1.37% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Islanders vs Flyers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +145 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +225 |
| Owen Tippett (Phi) | +240 |
| Travis Konecny (Phi) | +250 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | +270 |
| Anders Lee (NYI) | +275 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Islanders vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyson Foerster (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ryan Pulock (NYI) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Islanders vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster (PHI) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -175 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Brayden Schenn (NYI) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 98-122 (.445) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers were 20-31 (.392) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Flyers are 69-83 (.454) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 41-33 (.554) this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders were 4-10 (.286) when tied after the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 53-39 (.576) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have secondary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers had 13 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Flyers had 28 slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have scored on 11% of second chance opportunities this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
The Islanders have 1,335 high danger chances this season — 9th most among NHL Teams
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders have 813 cycle chances this season — 5th most among NHL Teams
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Flyers have a .807 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Flyers had a .768 slot save percentage in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
The Flyers allowed 8 goals in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have a .845 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
