- The Capitals are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Flyers vs. Capitals Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: NSPA | MNMT
The Philadelphia Flyers (37-24) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Capitals (37-28) on Mar. 31 in Washington, D.C., DC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Capitals are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+180).
The Flyers vs. Capitals Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Flyers vs. Capitals Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Flyers vs Capitals Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Capitals will win this game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flyers vs Capitals Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flyers will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+10.75 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 3P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 48-25 against the spread this NHL season (+17.1 Units / 13.89% ROI).
- Flyers are 37-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units /8.19% ROI
- Flyers are 35-36 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -6.25% ROI
- Flyers are 36-35 when betting the Under for -3 Units /-3.73% ROI
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 38-36 against the spread this NHL season (+8.6 Units /8.48% ROI).
- Capitals are 37-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -8.18% ROI
- Capitals are 32-39 when betting the Over for -10.8 Units / -13.13% ROI
- Capitals are 39-32 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 5.41% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Capitals vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Travis Sanheim (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -285 |
| Cole Hutson (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Capitals vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +120 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Anthony Beauvillier (WAS) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Flyers are 98-122 (.445) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 69-81 (.460) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 9-4 (.692) when tied after the second period this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 87-67 (.565) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 12-5 (.706) when tied after the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have secondary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 13 cycle chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers had 570 inner slot shots last season — tied for 9th most among NHL Teams
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 5.59 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 14 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals had 3.2 points per game while tied last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.7
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have a .886 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Flyers have a .807 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Flyers have allowed 6 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers allowed 7 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals have a .714 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
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