- The Capitals are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Flyers vs. Capitals Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MNMT | NSPA
The Philadelphia Flyers (25-20) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Capitals (29-23) on Feb. 25 in Washington, D.C., DC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Capitals are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Flyers vs. Capitals Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flyers vs. Capitals Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Flyers | +1.5 -200 | 6 +100 | +130 |
| Capitals | -1.5 +165 | 6 -120 | -155 |
Flyers vs Capitals Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Capitals will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flyers vs Capitals Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flyers will cover the spread with 63.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 away games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 3P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+4.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 34-22 against the spread this NHL season (+6.8 Units / 7.44% ROI).
- Flyers are 25-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units /-4.86% ROI
- Flyers are 30-24 when betting the Over for +3.35 Units / 5.43% ROI
- Flyers are 24-30 when betting the Under for -9.8 Units /-15.82% ROI
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 31-28 against the spread this NHL season (+10.6 Units /13.27% ROI).
- Capitals are 29-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -11.98% ROI
- Capitals are 28-28 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -3.52% ROI
- Capitals are 28-28 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -3.61% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Capitals vs Flyers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +125 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +185 |
| Travis Konecny (Phi) | +190 |
| Trevor Zegras (PHI) | +225 |
| Dylan Strome (WAS) | +230 |
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Capitals vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois (WAS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Capitals vs Flyers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +135 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Anthony Beauvillier (WAS) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois (WAS) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 96-119 (.447) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 25-29 (.463) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers were 24-14 (.632) when winning the xG advantage last season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 118-102 (.536) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 78-60 (.565) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 37-14 (.725) when creating 14 or more high danger chances last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .568
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers scored on 6% of cycle chances on the power play last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have scored on 6% of second chance opportunities while tied this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Flyers have 13 cycle chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 5 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 8 high danger chances in 4v4 situations this month — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals scored 280 goals last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 11 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have a .884 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Flyers had a .768 slot save percentage in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
The Flyers had a .878 save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Capitals have a .820 save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .892
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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