- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
- Flames vs. Stars Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: VIC+ | RSNW
The Calgary Flames (32-36) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars (45-20) on Apr. 7 in Dallas, TX. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (-102).
The Flames vs. Stars Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flames vs. Stars Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Flames vs Stars Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 88.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flames vs Stars Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Stars will cover the spread with 84.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flames Best Bets & Trends
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 1P Puck Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flames are 43-32 against the spread this NHL season (-4.25 Units / -3.17% ROI).
- Flames are 32-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units /-9.6% ROI
- Flames are 37-35 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -1.81% ROI
- Flames are 35-37 when betting the Under for -4.15 Units /-5.04% ROI
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 30-47 against the spread this NHL season (-12.25 Units /-12.26% ROI).
- Stars are 45-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.31% ROI
- Stars are 37-39 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -7.59% ROI
- Stars are 39-37 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -1.19% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Stars vs Flames
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson (DAL) | +110 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | +145 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | +155 |
| Matt Duchene (DAL) | +250 |
| Blake Coleman (CAL) | +280 |
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | +290 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Stars vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Stars vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +120 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 -105 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +100 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Flames are 32-43 (.427) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 72-83 (.465) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are undefeated (19-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .867
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Flames
The Stars are 44-31 (.587) this season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .522
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flames Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flames scored on 5% of cycle chances while leading last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Flames have scored on 7% of rush chances in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Flames had 5.7 slot shots per game while tied last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Flames had 37 rush chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 8 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 2.6 points per game on the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Stars have scored 29 power play goals in the second period this season — most among NHL Teams
Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Flames have allowed 218 forecheck chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 245 forecheck chances this season — most among NHL Teams
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have allowed 0.8 goals per game in the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Stars have a .908 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Stars have allowed 2.7 goals per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
The Stars have allowed 2.75 expected goals per game this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
