Flames vs Red Wings Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 16

Detroit Red Wings head coach Todd McLellan watches the action from the bench during the first period of an NHL hockey game against the Washington Capitals, Saturday, Dec. 20, 2025, in Washington.
(AP Photo/John McDonnell)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Red Wings are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
  • Flames vs. Red Wings Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: FDDT | Amazon

The Calgary Flames (26-33) visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Red Wings (36-23) on Mar. 16 in Detroit, MI. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Red Wings are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Flames vs. Red Wings Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Flames vs. Red Wings Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Flames+1.5 -1656 -120+150
Red Wings-1.5 +1356 +100-185

Flames vs Red Wings Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Red Wings will win this game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Flames vs Red Wings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 69.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 20 away games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)

Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Flames are 36-29 against the spread this NHL season (-8.8 Units / -7.44% ROI).

  • Flames are 26-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units /-15.49% ROI
  • Flames are 31-31 when betting the Over for -2.75 Units / -3.73% ROI
  • Flames are 31-31 when betting the Under for -1.95 Units /-2.71% ROI

Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Red Wings are 34-33 against the spread this NHL season (-0.8 Units /-0.79% ROI).

  • Red Wings are 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 4.34% ROI
  • Red Wings are 29-32 when betting the Over for -5.85 Units / -7.87% ROI
  • Red Wings are 32-29 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units / 1.02% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Red Wings vs Flames

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Alex Debrincat (DET) +130
Lucas Raymond (DET) +190
Patrick Kane (DET) +225
Emmitt Finnie (DET) +320
Matt Coronato (CAL) +320
Blake Coleman (CAL) +333

Points Per Game Predictions for Red Wings vs Flames

Player Name Over Under
Mikael Backlund (CAL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Matvei Gridin (CAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
James Van Riemsdyk (DET) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Kevin Bahl (CAL) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Justin Faulk (DET) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Shots on Goal Predictions for Red Wings vs Flames

Player Name Over Under
Mikael Backlund (CAL) 2.5 +120 2.5 -160
Matvei Gridin (CAL) 1.5 -135 1.5 +100
Justin Faulk (DET) 1.5 -115 1.5 -120
David Perron (DET) 1.5 -110 1.5 -120
Morgan Frost (CAL) 1.5 +105 1.5 -140

Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings

The Flames are 26-39 (.400) this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flames are undefeated (15-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .866

The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flames are 18-30 (.375) when allowing 5 or more rush chances this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .465

Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Flames

The Red Wings are 12-9 (.571) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .487

The Red Wings were 6-8 (.429) when tied after the second period last season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Red Wings are 24-2 (.923) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834

The Red Wings are 51-14 (.785) when leading after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .734

The Flames have 4 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Flames have scored 11 goals while shorthanded this season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames have 5 inner slot shots while shorthanded this month — most among NHL Teams

The Flames have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2

The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Red Wings have scored on 17% of cycle chances while leading this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%

The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Flames have allowed 79 forecheck chances in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames allowed 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Red Wings allowed 5.8 rush chances per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Red Wings had a .720 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832

The Red Wings allowed 815 cycle chances last season — 9th most among NHL Teams

The Red Wings had a .826 save percentage against the power play last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .854


National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM

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