Flames vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 10

New York Rangers head coach Mike Sullivan watches the action during the second period of an NHL hockey game against the Boston Bruins, Friday, Nov. 28, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Rangers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
  • Flames vs. Rangers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: MSG | RSNW

The Calgary Flames (25-31) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Rangers (25-30) on Mar. 10 in New York, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).

The Flames vs. Rangers Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Flames vs. Rangers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Flames+1.5 -2256 -115+105
Rangers-1.5 +1856 -105-130

Flames vs Rangers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Rangers will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Flames vs Rangers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flames will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 away games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Rangers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Rangers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Rangers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Rangers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 33% ROI)

Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Flames are 34-28 against the spread this NHL season (-8.4 Units / -7.48% ROI).

  • Flames are 25-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units /-15.59% ROI
  • Flames are 30-29 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -2.2% ROI
  • Flames are 29-30 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units /-4.22% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rangers are 32-31 against the spread this NHL season (-7.1 Units /-6.76% ROI).

  • Rangers are 25-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -24.39% ROI
  • Rangers are 28-33 when betting the Over for -8.15 Units / -11.63% ROI
  • Rangers are 33-28 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 4.33% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Rangers vs Flames

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Mika Zibanejad (NYR) +130
Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) +225
Vincent Trocheck (NYR) +225
Joel Farabee (CAL) +270
Will Cuylle (NYR) +270
Gabriel Perreault (NYR) +275

Points Per Game Predictions for Rangers vs Flames

Player Name Over Under
Mikael Backlund (CAL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Matvei Gridin (CAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Connor Zary (CAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Vladislav Gavrikov (NYR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -235
Adam Fox (NYR) 0.5 -150 0.5 +115

Shots on Goal Predictions for Rangers vs Flames

Player Name Over Under
Mikael Backlund (CAL) 2.5 +130 2.5 -175
Matvei Gridin (CAL) 1.5 -175 1.5 +125
Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) 2.5 +130 2.5 -185
Gabe Perreault (NYR) 1.5 -175 1.5 +125
Morgan Frost (CAL) 1.5 -165 1.5 +125

Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Rangers

The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flames are undefeated (14-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .866

The Flames are 25-38 (.397) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flames are undefeated (31-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .866

Rangers: Keys to the Game vs. Flames

The Rangers are 25-38 (.397) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Rangers are 5-17 (.227) when tied after the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Rangers are 63-80 (.441) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Rangers were 1-27 (.036) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .135

The Flames have 4 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Flames scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%

The Flames have scored on 7% of rush chances in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Flames have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2

The Rangers averaged 0.16 expected goals per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.08

The Rangers had 0.5 points per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2

The Rangers scored 18 goals while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams

The Rangers primary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames have allowed 0.7 rush chances per game against the power play this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames have allowed 187 forecheck chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams

The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1

The Rangers allowed 5 cycle chances while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Rangers allowed 7.4 rush chances per game last season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Rangers allowed opponents to score on 11% of cycle chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%

The Rangers have allowed 2.3 rush chances per game in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.8


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