- The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
- Flames vs. Islanders Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: RSNW | MSS2
The Calgary Flames (26-32) visit UBS Arena to take on the New York Islanders (37-24) on Mar. 14 in Elmont, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Flames vs. Islanders Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flames vs. Islanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Flames | +1.5 -190 | 6 -110 | +125 |
| Islanders | -1.5 +155 | 6 -110 | -150 |
Flames vs Islanders Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 72.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flames vs Islanders Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flames will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flames Best Bets & Trends
- The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 20 away games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the 3P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flames are 35-29 against the spread this NHL season (-9.8 Units / -8.42% ROI).
- Flames are 26-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units /-14.29% ROI
- Flames are 31-30 when betting the Over for -1.65 Units / -2.27% ROI
- Flames are 30-31 when betting the Under for -2.95 Units /-4.16% ROI
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 34-32 against the spread this NHL season (-8.4 Units /-7.48% ROI).
- Islanders are 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 12.62% ROI
- Islanders are 30-34 when betting the Over for -6.95 Units / -9.54% ROI
- Islanders are 34-30 when betting the Under for +1.65 Units / 2.25% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Islanders vs Flames
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +130 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +210 |
| Anders Lee (NYI) | +250 |
| Blake Coleman (CAL) | +270 |
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | +280 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | +290 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Islanders vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brayden Schenn (NYI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Kevin Bahl (CAL) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -325 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Islanders vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -190 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -140 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -140 |
| Anders Lee (NYI) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Flames are 26-39 (.400) this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 66-79 (.455) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 20-34 (.370) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .468
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Flames
The Islanders are 37-29 (.561) this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 16-5 (.762) when tied after the second period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 13-3 (.812) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .486
Flames Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flames have scored 11 goals while shorthanded this season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have 5 inner slot shots while shorthanded this month — most among NHL Teams
The Flames had 37 rush chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have 4 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have 0.2 rush chances per game on the power play since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.3
The Islanders have 0.2 rush chances per game on the power play this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 0.6 rush chances per game against the power play this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Flames have allowed 194 forecheck chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have a .846 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Islanders have 111.9 goals saved above expected in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 40.4
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