- The Capitals are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
- Flames vs. Capitals Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MNMT | RSNW
The Calgary Flames (25-30) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Capitals (31-26) on Mar. 9 in Washington, D.C., DC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Capitals are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Flames vs. Capitals Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flames vs. Capitals Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Flames | +1.5 -155 | 6 -118 | +155 |
| Capitals | -1.5 +125 | 6 -102 | -190 |
Flames vs Capitals Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Capitals will win this game with 83.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flames vs Capitals Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Capitals will cover the spread with 71.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flames Best Bets & Trends
- The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 away games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 3P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the Puck Line in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 58% ROI)
Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flames are 34-27 against the spread this NHL season (-6.85 Units / -6.18% ROI).
- Flames are 25-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units /-14.33% ROI
- Flames are 29-29 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -3.68% ROI
- Flames are 29-29 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units /-2.52% ROI
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 32-32 against the spread this NHL season (+6.25 Units /7.19% ROI).
- Capitals are 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -12.48% ROI
- Capitals are 29-32 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -8.16% ROI
- Capitals are 32-29 when betting the Under for +0.65 Units / 0.92% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Capitals vs Flames
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +160 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +200 |
| Matt Coronato (CAL) | +250 |
| Dylan Strome (WAS) | +260 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | +270 |
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | +270 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Capitals vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Connor Zary (CAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Capitals vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -165 |
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Connor Zary (CAL) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Flames are 24-36 (.400) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 3-18 (.143) when trailing after the first period this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .262
The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 64-76 (.457) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Flames
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 81-63 (.562) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 12-5 (.706) when tied after the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flames Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flames have 4 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Flames had 5.7 slot shots per game while tied last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Flames have averaged 15.7 high danger chances per game this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.2
The Flames scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 5.24 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 26 high danger chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 0.7 rush chances per game against the power play this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Flames have allowed 184 forecheck chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
