- The Avalanche are a -2.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
- Flames vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ALT | Amazon
The Calgary Flames (31-34) visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche (48-14) on Mar. 30 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Flames vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Flames vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Flames vs Avalanche Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flames vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 72.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flames Best Bets & Trends
- The Calgary Flames have covered the Puck Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in their last 5 games (+5.95 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.85 Units / 71% ROI)
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 20 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flames are 42-30 against the spread this NHL season (-2.95 Units / -2.27% ROI).
- Flames are 31-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units /-9.07% ROI
- Flames are 34-35 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -5.56% ROI
- Flames are 35-34 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units /-1.32% ROI
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 36-36 against the spread this NHL season (+8.9 Units /11.38% ROI).
- Avalanche are 48-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 1.75% ROI
- Avalanche are 29-39 when betting the Over for -15.05 Units / -18.44% ROI
- Avalanche are 39-29 when betting the Under for +8.9 Units / 11.45% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Avalanche vs Flames
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | -105 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +145 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +190 |
| Nazem Kadri (COL) | +225 |
| Artturi Lehkonen (COL) | +230 |
| Gabriel Landeskog (COL) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Avalanche vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Morgan Frost (CAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Avalanche vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +140 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Ross Colton (COL) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 2.5 -135 | 2.5 +100 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -190 |
Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 31-41 (.431) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames were undefeated (17-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .865
The Flames are undefeated (18-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .869
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Flames
The Avalanche are 48-23 (.676) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 95-55 (.633) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flames Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flames have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Flames had 37 rush chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames scored on 5% of cycle chances while leading last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Flames had 5.7 slot shots per game while tied last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.8
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have 923 cycle chances this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 6.6 rush chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Avalanche have recorded 35.6 shots per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9
The Avalanche have recorded 1,088 shots while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Flames have allowed 84 forecheck chances in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames allowed 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 8% of second chance opportunities this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
The Avalanche have a .643 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .831
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 30% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
