- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
- Flames vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: KUSA | ALT | KTVD | RSNW
The Calgary Flames (32-36) visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche (51-16) on Apr. 9 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Flames vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Flames vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Flames vs Avalanche Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Flames vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 86.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Flames Best Bets & Trends
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the Puck Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 2P Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 25 games (+3.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 3P Puck Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flames are 44-32 against the spread this NHL season (-3.25 Units / -2.4% ROI).
- Flames are 32-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units /-10.69% ROI
- Flames are 38-35 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -0.63% ROI
- Flames are 35-38 when betting the Under for -5.15 Units /-6.18% ROI
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 39-38 against the spread this NHL season (+10.9 Units /12.92% ROI).
- Avalanche are 51-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -0.52% ROI
- Avalanche are 31-42 when betting the Over for -16.4 Units / -18.81% ROI
- Avalanche are 42-31 when betting the Under for +9.75 Units / 11.73% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Avalanche vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Morgan Frost (CAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Avalanche vs Flames
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 +100 |
| Ross Colton (COL) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +105 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -190 |
Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are undefeated (19-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .868
The Flames are 32-43 (.427) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are undefeated (36-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .867
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Flames
The Avalanche are 50-25 (.667) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .460
The Avalanche are 97-57 (.630) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flames Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flames scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Flames had 37 rush chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames scored on 5% of cycle chances while leading last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Flames have averaged 0.89 expected goals per game while tied this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.05
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have 12.7 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Avalanche have 5.6 slot shots per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.4
The Avalanche have recorded 28.4 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.2
The Avalanche have recorded 35.6 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9
Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed opponents to score on 25% of cycle chances this month — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Flames have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Flames have allowed opponents to score on 33% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations this month — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have a .633 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 33% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 5% of cycle chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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