- The Red Wings are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Capitals
- Capitals vs. Red Wings Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN+ | HULU
The Washington Capitals (25-22) visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Red Wings (32-17) on Jan. 29 in Detroit, MI. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Red Wings are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+195).
The Capitals vs. Red Wings Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Red Wings Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Capitals | +1.5 -235 | 6.5 -118 | +100 |
| Red Wings | -1.5 +195 | 6.5 -102 | -102 |
Capitals vs Red Wings Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Red Wings will win this game with 58.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Capitals vs Red Wings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have covered the 1P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 away games (+4.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 27-27 against the spread this NHL season (+7.25 Units / 10.06% ROI).
- Capitals are 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units /-18.08% ROI
- Capitals are 26-25 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -1.84% ROI
- Capitals are 25-26 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units /-5.38% ROI
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 28-26 against the spread this NHL season (+0.9 Units /1.1% ROI).
- Red Wings are 32-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 13.45% ROI
- Red Wings are 25-24 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -1.67% ROI
- Red Wings are 24-25 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -4.9% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Red Wings vs Capitals
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Debrincat (DET) | +135 |
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +180 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | +180 |
| Lucas Raymond (DET) | +230 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +210 |
| Dylan Strome (WAS) | +280 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Red Wings vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| James Van Riemsdyk (DET) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Red Wings vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| James Van Riemsdyk (DET) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 115-101 (.532) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 75-59 (.560) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 11-4 (.733) when recording 35 or more shots on goal last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .556
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Red Wings are 32-22 (.593) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings are 7-2 (.778) when tied after the second period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings were 14-10 (.583) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .444
The Red Wings are 11-6 (.647) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .503
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 11 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 8 high danger chances in 4v4 situations this month — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals primary assisted on 92 goals while tied last season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have scored on 26% of second chance opportunities in the third period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings have scored on 18% of cycle chances while leading this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals have a .706 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Capitals have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the second period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings have allowed 0.1 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Red Wings had a .720 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
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