- The Capitals are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Rangers
- Capitals vs. Rangers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | RSN
The Washington Capitals (39-29) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Rangers (32-36) on Apr. 5 in New York, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Capitals are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Capitals vs. Rangers Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Capitals vs. Rangers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Capitals vs Rangers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Capitals will win this game with 53.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Capitals vs Rangers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Capitals will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- [team high – away]
Rangers Best Bets & Trends
- [team high – home]
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 40-37 against the spread this NHL season (+9 Units / 8.38% ROI).
- Capitals are 39-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units /-6.99% ROI
- Capitals are 35-39 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -9.12% ROI
- Capitals are 39-35 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units /1.3% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rangers are 41-36 against the spread this NHL season (-4.5 Units /-3.52% ROI).
- Rangers are 32-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -19.33% ROI
- Rangers are 33-41 when betting the Over for -11.85 Units / -13.82% ROI
- Rangers are 41-33 when betting the Under for +5.55 Units / 6.56% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Rangers vs Capitals
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +160 |
| Mika Zibanejad (NYR) | +185 |
| Gabriel Perreault (NYR) | +220 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +225 |
| Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) | +270 |
| Vincent Trocheck (NYR) | +300 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Rangers vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Cole Hutson (WAS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Rangers vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Anthony Beauvillier (WAS) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -165 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois (WAS) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Rangers
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 27-4 (.871) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — tied for 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
The Capitals are 89-68 (.567) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Rangers: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Rangers are 31-45 (.408) this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 69-87 (.442) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 7-18 (.280) when tied after the first period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 19-30 (.388) when recording less than 30 shots on goal this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .495
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 14 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 5.76 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Rangers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers had 0.5 points per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Rangers primary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Rangers averaged 0.16 expected goals per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.08
The Rangers had 6 cycle chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have a .706 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Capitals have a .714 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
Rangers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers have allowed 47 forecheck chances against the power play this season — most among NHL Teams
The Rangers have allowed 7.4 rush chances per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Rangers allowed 1.2 goals per game while tied last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Rangers have allowed 2.5 rush chances per game in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.8
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