- The Capitals are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
- Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: RSN | TVA | MNMT
The Washington Capitals (39-30) visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-31) on Apr. 8 in Toronto, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Capitals are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Capitals vs Maple Leafs Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Capitals will win this game with 88.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Capitals vs Maple Leafs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Maple Leafs will cover the spread with 79.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 3P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 40-38 against the spread this NHL season (+8 Units / 7.38% ROI).
- Capitals are 39-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units /-8.01% ROI
- Capitals are 36-39 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -7.84% ROI
- Capitals are 39-36 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units /0.12% ROI
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 34-43 against the spread this NHL season (-19.35 Units /-16.49% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 32-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -15.02% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 42-29 when betting the Over for +9.9 Units / 11.55% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 29-42 when betting the Under for -16.75 Units / -19.87% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Maple Leafs vs Capitals
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +145 |
| William Nylander (Tor) | +175 |
| John Tavares (Tor) | +180 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | +200 |
| Matthew Knies (Tor) | +230 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | +290 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Cole Hutson (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois (WAS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Anthony Beauvillier (WAS) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -110 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois (WAS) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -110 |
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 89-69 (.563) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 27-1 (.964) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .867
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 32-43 (.427) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 36-13 (.735) when creating 5 or more rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .544
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 5.76 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 14 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs have scored on 19% of rush chances in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Maple Leafs have 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have allowed opponents to score on 24% of rush chances against the power play this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have a .714 slot save percentage in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs have made 30.8 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.8
The Maple Leafs have allowed 7.7 rush chances per game this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Maple Leafs have allowed 2.5 goals per game in 5v5 situations this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
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