- The Golden Knights are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Capitals
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MNMT | SCRI
The Washington Capitals (36-28) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (32-26) on Mar. 28 in Paradise, NV. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:30 pm.
The Golden Knights are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+154).
The Capitals vs. Golden Knights Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Capitals vs. Golden Knights Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Capitals vs Golden Knights Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 67.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Capitals vs Golden Knights Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Golden Knights will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Capitals Best Bets & Trends
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Capitals have hit the 2P Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+2.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 98% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Capitals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Capitals are 37-36 against the spread this NHL season (+7.6 Units / 7.64% ROI).
- Capitals are 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units /-9.63% ROI
- Capitals are 31-39 when betting the Over for -11.8 Units / -14.54% ROI
- Capitals are 39-31 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units /6.86% ROI
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 28-45 against the spread this NHL season (-11.6 Units /-12.85% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 32-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -22.47% ROI
- Golden Knights are 35-35 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -4.25% ROI
- Golden Knights are 35-35 when betting the Under for -2.95 Units / -3.67% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Golden Knights vs Capitals
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin (WAS) | +125 |
| Jack Eichel (Veg) | +150 |
| Mark Stone (Veg) | +160 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev (VEG) | +190 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | +220 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Golden Knights vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Connor McMichael (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Golden Knights vs Capitals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas (WAS) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
| Tom Wilson (WAS) | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +105 |
| Ryan Leonard (WAS) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 -105 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -155 |
| Jakob Chychrun (WAS) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -185 |
Capitals: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Capitals are 121-104 (.538) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals were 50-31 (.617) last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 86-67 (.562) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Capitals are 24-1 (.960) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .868
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Capitals
The Golden Knights are 31-40 (.437) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 121-100 (.548) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 1-25 (.038) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .167
Capitals Offensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals have 14 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 5.59 expected goals in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Capitals have 28 high danger chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights scored 262 goals last season — tied for 7th most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have 1,329 high danger chances this season — 5th most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have 210 inner slot shots in the third period this season — most among NHL Teams
Capitals Defensive Stats & Trends
The Capitals allowed opponents to score on 4% of cycle chances in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Capitals have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Capitals allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Capitals have allowed opponents to score on 25% of rush chances against the power play this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have a .792 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Golden Knights have a .780 slot save percentage in the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .840
The Golden Knights have a .777 slot save percentage while tied this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .837
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
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